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Hamburger W vs 1.FC Nurnberg W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Bundesliga Women Volksparkstadion, Hamburg
Hamburger W Logo

Hamburger W

5 - 1
FT
1.FC Nurnberg W Logo

1.FC Nurnberg W

Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Karczewska N.
Assist: Morich C.
20'
Peneau L.
27' Event
Karczewska N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Bundesliga Women game between Hamburger W and 1.FC Nurnberg W finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hamburger W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Hamburger W
20%
Draws
29%
1.FC Nurnberg W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hamburger W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • 1.FC Nurnberg W's 2 goals per match outpaces what Hamburger W have produced (1.43).
  • Hamburger W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Bundesliga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Hamburger W Clean Sheet 16%
1.FC Nurnberg W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hamburger W 1.FC Nurnberg W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 6 5
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1.43 2
Goals Conceded 1.83 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Bundesliga Women
Hamburger W vs 1.FC Nurnberg W
5:1
Apr 24, 2026 Bundesliga Women
1.FC Nurnberg W vs Hamburger W
0:1
Nov 9, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Hamburger W vs 1.FC Nurnberg W
1:2
May 3, 2025 2. Bundesliga Women
1.FC Nurnberg W vs Hamburger W
0:2
Nov 17, 2024 2. Bundesliga Women
Hamburger W vs 1.FC Nurnberg W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hamburger W Compare

Top Goalscorer Karczewska N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bartz P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

1.FC Nurnberg W Compare

Top Goalscorer Meroni L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hamburger W 84 / 100
1.FC Nurnberg W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hamburger W 1.FC Nurnberg W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hamburger W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

1.FC Nurnberg W let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Hamburger W scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Hamburger W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hamburger W VS 1.FC Nurnberg W
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Hamburger W

(Home)
04 Oct
Wolfsburg W
2 : 1
Hamburger W
26 Sept
Meppen W
1 : 2
Hamburger W
20 Sept
Hamburger W
5 : 1
1.FC Nurnberg W
11 Sept
Werder Bremen W
1 : 0
Hamburger W
05 Sept
Hamburger W
1 : 1
RB Leipzig W
Page 1 of 6

1.FC Nurnberg W

(Away)
04 Oct
1.FC Nurnberg W
1 : 2
Hoffenheim W
27 Sept
Buntentor W
0 : 10
1.FC Nurnberg W
20 Sept
Hamburger W
5 : 1
1.FC Nurnberg W
12 Sept
RB Leipzig W
2 : 1
1.FC Nurnberg W
06 Sept
1.FC Nurnberg W
3 : 3
VfB Stuttgart W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich W 6 6 0 0 19:6 18
2 Wolfsburg W 6 5 0 1 18:8 15
3 Eintracht Frankfurt W 6 4 1 1 11:6 13
4 Bayer Leverkusen W 6 4 0 2 12:9 12
5 Werder Bremen W 6 3 1 2 10:8 10
6 Freiburg W 6 3 1 2 8:7 10
7 Koln W 6 3 0 3 10:8 9
8 VfB Stuttgart W 6 2 2 2 8:12 8
9 RB Leipzig W 6 2 1 3 10:9 7
10 Union Berlin W 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
11 Hoffenheim W 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
12 Hamburger W 6 1 2 3 9:8 5
13 1.FC Nurnberg W 6 0 2 4 9:21 2
14 Mainz W 6 0 0 6 3:19 0
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga Women 2027/2028 (Main)