Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hamburger W vs Bayer Leverkusen W

Germany Germany

DFB Pokal Women 2025/2026 Volksparkstadion, Hamburg
Hamburger W Logo

Hamburger W

Sun, Nov 16, 2025
2 - 1
02:00 PM
Bayer Leverkusen W Logo

Bayer Leverkusen W

Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Sub
Bender L. In: Madl V.
Out: Bender L.
36'
Ostermeier S.
64'
Sub
Fudalla V. In: Grant R.
Out: Fudalla V.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Hamburger W in this DFB Pokal Women 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Hamburger W
6%
Draws
90%
Bayer Leverkusen W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bayer Leverkusen W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Bayer Leverkusen W have won more games recently than Hamburger W.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Bayer Leverkusen W taking it.
  • Bayer Leverkusen W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Bayer Leverkusen W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Hamburger W Clean Sheet 10%
Bayer Leverkusen W Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hamburger W Bayer Leverkusen W
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 7 19
Draws 4 1
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 0.63 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2026 Bundesliga Women
Hamburger W vs Bayer Leverkusen W
1:3
Nov 16, 2025 DFB Pokal Women
Hamburger W vs Bayer Leverkusen W
2:1
Nov 5, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Bayer Leverkusen W vs Hamburger W
2:1
Nov 25, 2023 DFB Pokal Women
Hamburger W vs Bayer Leverkusen W
0:4
Mar 25, 2012 Bundesliga Women
Bayer Leverkusen W vs Hamburger W
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hamburger W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hillebrand S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Bayer Leverkusen W Compare

Top Goalscorer Mickenhagen J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hamburger W 10 / 100
Bayer Leverkusen W 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hamburger W Bayer Leverkusen W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAY Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Hamburger W's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Bayer Leverkusen W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

Hamburger W has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hamburger W VS Bayer Leverkusen W
0.63 Goals Scored 2.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Hamburger W

(Home)
18 Jul
Hamburger W
5 : 1
Odense W
17 May
Hamburger W
0 : 1
Bayern Munich W
09 May
Koln W
2 : 1
Hamburger W
01 May
Hamburger W
0 : 1
Union Berlin W
24 Apr
1.FC Nurnberg W
0 : 1
Hamburger W
Page 1 of 6

Bayer Leverkusen W

(Away)
18 Jul
Bayer Leverkusen W
6 : 0
Liberec W
11 Jul
PSV W
1 : 0
Bayer Leverkusen W
04 Jul
Bayer Leverkusen W
2 : 0
Mainz W
17 May
Bayer Leverkusen W
1 : 3
Werder Bremen W
11 May
RB Leipzig W
1 : 3
Bayer Leverkusen W
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
VfB Stuttgart W0
Mainz W2
TBD-
Union Berlin W-
Chemie Leipzig W3
Freiburg-St. Georgen W2
TBD-
Carl Zeiss Jena W-
Holstein Kiel W0
Meppen W1
TBD-
SC Sand W-
Neubrandenburg W0
VfR Warbeyen W8
TBD-
Koln W-
FSV Babelsberg W1
Buntentor W2
TBD-
Wolfsburg W-
Borussia Pankow W0
Hannover W6
TBD-
Freiburg W-
Weinberg W2
Greuther Furth W3
TBD-
Hoffenheim W-
Viktoria Berlin W2
Bochum W1
TBD-
Eintracht Frankfurt W-
Gutersloh W0
Magdeburg W2
TBD-
Hamburger W-
Elversberg W2
Fortuna Koln W1
TBD-
Bayer Leverkusen W-
Saalfeld Titans W0
Ingolstadt W23
TBD-
1.FC Nurnberg W-
Dortmund W3
B. Monchengladbach W1
TBD-
Bayern Munich W-
Montabaur W3
Siegelbach W0
TBD-
Potsdam W-
VfL Herrenberg W0
Kickers Offenbach W2
TBD-
SGS Essen W-
Karlsruher W0
Andernach W4
TBD-
RB Leipzig W-
Solingen-Aufderhohe W0
SC Victoria Hamburg W6
TBD-
Werder Bremen W-
1/16-finals
Mainz W0
Union Berlin W2
Chemie Leipzig W0
Carl Zeiss Jena W5
Meppen W0
SC Sand W3
VfR Warbeyen W0
Koln W6
Buntentor W0
Wolfsburg W11
Hannover W0
Freiburg W4
Greuther Furth W1
Hoffenheim W2
Viktoria Berlin W1
Eintracht Frankfurt W3
Magdeburg W0
Hamburger W3
Elversberg W0
Bayer Leverkusen W5
Ingolstadt W3
1.FC Nurnberg W2
Dortmund W0
Bayern Munich W2
Montabaur W0
Potsdam W3
Kickers Offenbach W0
SGS Essen W7
Andernach W0
RB Leipzig W7
SC Victoria Hamburg W0
Werder Bremen W7
1/8-finals
Union Berlin W0
Carl Zeiss Jena W1
SC Sand W3
Koln W2
Wolfsburg W3
Freiburg W1
Hoffenheim W4
Eintracht Frankfurt W6
Hamburger W2
Bayer Leverkusen W1
Ingolstadt W0
Bayern Munich W3
Potsdam W0
SGS Essen W1
RB Leipzig W1
Werder Bremen W2
Quarter-finals
Carl Zeiss Jena W4
SC Sand W1
Wolfsburg W1
Eintracht Frankfurt W0
Hamburger W0
Bayern Munich W3
SGS Essen W1
Werder Bremen W0
Semi-finals
Carl Zeiss Jena W0
Wolfsburg W1
Bayern Munich W4
SGS Essen W0
Final
Wolfsburg W0
Bayern Munich W4