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Hamilton vs Airdrieonians - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

League One ZLX Stadium, Hamilton
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
MacDonald K.
Assist: Comrie A.
18'
Gibson L.
49' Event
MacDonald K.
Assist: Newbury C.

AI Match Summary

Hamilton in this League One matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hamilton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Hamilton
15%
Draws
42%
Airdrieonians
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hamilton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hamilton lately — more wins on the board than Airdrieonians.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Airdrieonians taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Hamilton Clean Sheet 18%
Airdrieonians Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hamilton Airdrieonians
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 19 9
Draws 4 7
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 2.19 1.46
Goals Conceded 0.78 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 League One
Hamilton vs Airdrieonians
4:0
Nov 29, 2025 Scottish Cup
Airdrieonians vs Hamilton
4:0
Mar 8, 2025 Championship
Airdrieonians vs Hamilton
2:1
Dec 28, 2024 Championship
Hamilton vs Airdrieonians
3:2
Nov 2, 2024 Championship
Airdrieonians vs Hamilton
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hamilton Compare

Top Goalscorer MacDonald K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Smutek K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Airdrieonians Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hamilton 28 / 100
Airdrieonians 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hamilton Airdrieonians

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Airdrieonians Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hamilton's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Hamilton remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Airdrieonians let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Hamilton VS Airdrieonians
2 Goals Scored 2.38
0.25 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hamilton

(Home)
03 Oct
Hamilton
2 : 1
Peterhead
26 Sept
Hamilton
3 : 0
Kilmarnock B
23 Sept
Hamilton
1 : 0
Cowdenbeath
19 Sept
Hamilton
4 : 1
Queen of the South
08 Sept
Spartans
0 : 4
Hamilton
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Airdrieonians

(Away)
03 Oct
Airdrieonians
1 : 0
Montrose
26 Sept
Airdrieonians
7 : 1
Berwick
22 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
1 : 6
Airdrieonians
19 Sept
Peterhead
1 : 2
Airdrieonians
12 Sept
Airdrieonians
1 : 0
Alloa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ross County 8 7 1 0 26:5 22
2 Hamilton 8 7 1 0 18:2 22
3 East Kilbride 9 5 1 3 17:12 16
4 Montrose 9 5 0 4 13:14 15
5 Airdrieonians 9 3 3 3 7:11 12
6 Alloa 9 2 3 4 9:10 9
7 East Fife 9 1 5 3 7:10 8
8 Peterhead 9 2 1 6 7:16 7
9 Queen of the South 9 2 1 6 10:27 7
10 Cove Rangers 9 1 2 6 8:15 5
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)