Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hamilton vs Airdrieonians

Scotland Scotland

League One ZLX Stadium, Hamilton
Sat, Aug 15, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hamilton host Airdrieonians in the League One. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Hamilton at 1.88 goals for, 1.13 against; Airdrieonians at 1 for, 1.63 against. Past meetings favor Hamilton slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 29, 2025, ending 4:0. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 1.06) point toward Hamilton. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Hamilton
6%
Draws
4%
Airdrieonians
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Hamilton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hamilton lately — more wins on the board than Airdrieonians.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Hamilton taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Hamilton Clean Sheet 20%
Airdrieonians Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hamilton Airdrieonians
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.88 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 29, 2025 Scottish Cup
Airdrieonians vs Hamilton
4:0
Mar 8, 2025 Championship
Airdrieonians vs Hamilton
2:1
Dec 28, 2024 Championship
Hamilton vs Airdrieonians
3:2
Nov 2, 2024 Championship
Airdrieonians vs Hamilton
0:4
Aug 31, 2024 Championship
Hamilton vs Airdrieonians
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hamilton 85 / 100
Airdrieonians 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hamilton Airdrieonians

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Airdrieonians's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Hamilton found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Hamilton went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hamilton VS Airdrieonians
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hamilton

(Home)
25 Jul
Hamilton
5 : 0
Elgin City
21 Jul
Kilmarnock
1 : 0
Hamilton
18 Jul
Hamilton
2 : 1
Raith
11 Jul
Peterhead
0 : 1
Hamilton
04 Jul
Haverfordwest
0 : 4
Hamilton
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Airdrieonians

(Away)
25 Jul
Airdrieonians
0 : 3
Ross County
18 Jul
Airdrieonians
3 : 0
Annan
14 Jul
Clyde
1 : 0
Airdrieonians
11 Jul
Dundee FC
4 : 2
Airdrieonians
07 Jul
Airdrieonians
1 : 2
Falkirk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hamilton11005:03
2East Kilbride11005:13
3Ross County11001:03
4Airdrieonians10100:01
5Alloa10100:01
6East Fife10100:01
7Cove Rangers10100:01
8Peterhead10010:10
9Queen of the South10011:50
10Montrose10010:50
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)