Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hamilton vs Celtic B

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup ZLX Stadium, Hamilton
Hamilton Logo

Hamilton

Wed, Aug 12, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Celtic B Logo

Celtic B

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Challenge Cup. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Hamilton have averaged 1.83 scored and 1.06 conceded recently, against Celtic B's 2.19 scored and 1.97 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.63 - 1.50) back Hamilton to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Hamilton
15%
Draws
31%
Celtic B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hamilton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Hamilton have won more games recently than Celtic B.
  • Model gives Hamilton a 54% chance of winning this.
  • Hamilton have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Hamilton Clean Sheet 16%
Celtic B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hamilton Celtic B
Matches Played 36 31
Wins 20 12
Draws 7 6
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.83 2.19
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hamilton 57 / 100
Celtic B 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hamilton Celtic B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Hamilton scored in 81% of their last 36 outings.

Defensive concern: Celtic B conceded in 87% of 31 recent games.

Hamilton has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Celtic B has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hamilton VS Celtic B
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Hamilton

(Home)
08 Aug
Hamilton
1 : 0
Alloa
01 Aug
Montrose
0 : 5
Hamilton
25 Jul
Hamilton
5 : 0
Elgin City
21 Jul
Kilmarnock
1 : 0
Hamilton
18 Jul
Hamilton
2 : 1
Raith
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Celtic B

(Away)
08 Aug
Renfrew
3 : 5
Celtic B
01 Aug
Celtic B
1 : 1
Johnstone Burgh
28 Jul
Celtic B
6 : 1
Clydebank FC
25 Jul
Beith
3 : 2
Celtic B
04 Jul
Peterhead
3 : 1
Celtic B
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Clyde 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Hamilton 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Queen of the South 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Stirling 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Airdrieonians 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Alloa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Berwick 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Cowdenbeath 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Peterhead 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Ross County 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Dumbarton 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 East Fife 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Elgin City 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Forfar Athletic 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Montrose 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Stranraer 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
17 Annan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 Clachnacuddin 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
19 Cove Rangers 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
20 Edinburgh City 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
21 Fraserburgh 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
22 Gala Fairydean Rovers 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
23 Spartans 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
24 Banks O' Dee 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
25 Bonnyrigg Rose 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
26 Aberdeen B 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
27 Formartine Utd 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
28 East Kilbride 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
29 Kelty Hearts 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
30 Dundee Utd B 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
31 Dundee FC B 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
32 Cumbernauld Colts 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
33 Celtic B 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
34 Motherwell B 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
35 Kilmarnock B 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
36 Rangers B 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
37 Hearts B 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
38 Hibernian B 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
39 St. Mirren B 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
40 Clydebank FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Challenge Cup (Play Offs)