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Hamilton vs Celtic B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup ZLX Stadium, Hamilton
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Clearie L.
Penalty Missed
43' Event
Clearie L.
48' Event
Dargie R.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-3. This leg finished 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Hamilton
20%
Draws
20%
Celtic B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hamilton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Hamilton have won more games recently than Celtic B.
  • Model gives Hamilton a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Hamilton have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Celtic B, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.8%
Hamilton Clean Sheet 68%
Celtic B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hamilton Celtic B
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 19 10
Draws 4 9
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 2.19 2.59
Goals Conceded 0.78 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2026 Challenge Cup
Hamilton vs Celtic B
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hamilton Compare

Top Goalscorer McKay J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Celtic B Compare

Top Goalscorer Clearie L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dargie R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hamilton 95 / 100
Celtic B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hamilton Celtic B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hamilton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 8:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Hamilton scored in 89% of their last 27 outings.

Defensive concern: Celtic B conceded in 93% of 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Hamilton remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hamilton VS Celtic B
2 Goals Scored 2.13
0.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Hamilton

(Home)
03 Oct
Hamilton
2 : 1
Peterhead
26 Sept
Hamilton
3 : 0
Kilmarnock B
23 Sept
Hamilton
1 : 0
Cowdenbeath
19 Sept
Hamilton
4 : 1
Queen of the South
08 Sept
Spartans
0 : 4
Hamilton
Page 1 of 6

Celtic B

(Away)
26 Sept
Clachnacuddin
3 : 3
Celtic B
22 Sept
East Kilbride
3 : 3
Celtic B
19 Sept
Gretna 2008
3 : 1
Celtic B
15 Sept
Celtic B
2 : 0
Dalbeattie Star
12 Sept
Kilwinning Rangers
4 : 0
Celtic B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Clydebank FC 5 4 1 0 13:4 13
2 Ross County 5 4 0 1 28:6 12
3 Airdrieonians 5 4 0 1 18:6 12
4 Elgin City 5 4 0 1 14:2 12
5 Cove Rangers 5 4 0 1 17:6 12
6 Peterhead 5 4 0 1 11:4 12
7 Alloa 5 3 2 0 12:5 11
8 Queen of the South 5 3 2 0 11:4 11
9 East Kilbride 5 3 1 1 17:12 10
10 Stirling 5 3 1 1 14:10 10
11 Edinburgh City 5 3 1 1 6:4 10
12 St. Mirren B 5 3 0 2 14:8 9
13 Hamilton 5 3 0 2 9:4 9
14 Montrose 5 3 0 2 11:7 9
15 Celtic B 5 2 3 0 15:12 9
16 Formartine Utd 5 3 0 2 11:8 9
17 Kelty Hearts 5 3 0 2 14:13 9
18 Bonnyrigg Rose 5 3 0 2 8:10 9
19 Hearts B 5 3 0 2 15:26 9
20 Annan 5 2 2 1 9:5 8
21 Spartans 5 2 2 1 8:6 8
22 Aberdeen B 5 2 1 2 10:8 7
23 East Fife 5 2 1 2 12:11 7
24 Forfar Athletic 5 2 1 2 5:7 7
25 Berwick 5 2 1 2 10:15 7
26 Dumbarton 5 2 1 2 10:15 7
27 Stranraer 5 2 0 3 13:12 6
28 Rangers B 5 2 0 3 11:10 6
29 Clachnacuddin 5 1 1 3 10:12 4
30 Kilmarnock B 5 1 1 3 8:13 4
31 Banks O' Dee 5 1 1 3 6:14 4
32 Fraserburgh 5 1 1 3 5:18 4
33 Clyde 5 1 0 4 6:14 3
34 Dundee Utd B 5 1 0 4 4:12 3
35 Cumbernauld Colts 5 0 2 3 4:13 2
36 Gala Fairydean Rovers 5 0 2 3 3:15 2
37 Cowdenbeath 5 0 0 5 4:12 0
38 Dundee FC B 5 0 0 5 4:13 0
39 Hibernian B 5 0 0 5 2:12 0
40 Motherwell B 5 0 0 5 4:18 0
Promotion - Challenge Cup (Play Offs)