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Hamilton vs Cove Rangers - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup ZLX Stadium, Hamilton
Tue, Nov 24, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Challenge Cup. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Cove Rangers have shipped 1.78 goals a game lately, while Hamilton have conceded 0.63 and scored 2.07. Past meetings favor Hamilton slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 29, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 1.00, favoring Hamilton. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Hamilton
30%
Draws
33%
Cove Rangers
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hamilton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Hamilton carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hamilton are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Hamilton have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Hamilton, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Hamilton Clean Sheet 20%
Cove Rangers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hamilton Cove Rangers
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 19 10
Draws 5 4
Losses 3 13
Goals Scored 2.07 1.48
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 League One
Hamilton vs Cove Rangers
1:0
Mar 21, 2026 League One
Cove Rangers vs Hamilton
2:2
Jan 24, 2026 League One
Hamilton vs Cove Rangers
2:0
Nov 15, 2025 League One
Cove Rangers vs Hamilton
2:1
Aug 30, 2025 League One
Hamilton vs Cove Rangers
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hamilton 40 / 100
Cove Rangers 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hamilton Cove Rangers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hamilton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hamilton's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Hamilton went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Cove Rangers has conceded goals in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Hamilton VS Cove Rangers
2 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hamilton

(Home)
03 Nov
Hamilton
2 : 1
Raith
31 Oct
Hamilton
1 : 1
Montrose
27 Oct
Ross County
1 : 1
Hamilton
24 Oct
Hamilton
2 : 1
East Fife
17 Oct
Airdrieonians
1 : 2
Hamilton
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Cove Rangers

(Away)
03 Nov
Formartine Utd
0 : 2
Cove Rangers
31 Oct
Airdrieonians
0 : 1
Cove Rangers
17 Oct
Peterhead
2 : 0
Cove Rangers
13 Oct
Cove Rangers
2 : 1
Formartine Utd
10 Oct
Cove Rangers
1 : 1
East Fife
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Spartans 0
Livingston 2
St. Mirren B 1
Peterhead 2
Hamilton 2
Raith 1
Formartine Utd 0
Cove Rangers 2
East Kilbride 7
Stirling 3
Edinburgh City 0
Partick 3
Bonnyrigg Rose 2
Dunfermline 4
Morton 0
Kelty Hearts 1
Ross County 2
Celtic B 0
Stenhousemuir 4
Berwick 1
Arbroath 1
Queen of the South 0
Airdrieonians 5
Elgin City 0
Annan 0
Ayr 2
Inverness 1
Montrose 0
Clydebank FC 1
Alloa 0
Aberdeen B 1
Queen's Park 2
1/8-finals
Livingston -
Peterhead -
Hamilton -
Cove Rangers -
East Kilbride -
Partick -
Dunfermline -
Kelty Hearts -
Ross County -
Stenhousemuir -
Arbroath -
Airdrieonians -
Ayr -
Inverness -
Clydebank FC -
Queen's Park -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -