Sport Picks
Hamilton vs Cowdenbeath - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Scotland
Challenge Cup ZLX Stadium, Hamilton 
Match Events
71'
71'
Blues C.
Assist: McGinlay A.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
30%
19%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hamilton
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Hamilton carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hamilton are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- Hamilton have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Hamilton, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Hamilton Clean Sheet 68%
Cowdenbeath Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hamilton | Cowdenbeath |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 20 | 6 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 3 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 2.1 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.72 | 1.79 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 23, 2026 Challenge Cup
Hamilton vs Cowdenbeath
1:0
Mar 29, 2014 Championship
Cowdenbeath vs Hamilton
1:1
Jan 25, 2014 Championship
Hamilton vs Cowdenbeath
3:4
Nov 16, 2013 Championship
Cowdenbeath vs Hamilton
2:4
Sep 21, 2013 Championship
Hamilton vs Cowdenbeath
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hamilton Compare
Top Goalscorer Blues C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Cowdenbeath Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hamilton 77 / 100
Cowdenbeath 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hamilton Cowdenbeath
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Hamilton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Hamilton scored in 90% of their last 29 games.
Cowdenbeath let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Hamilton stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Hamilton VS Cowdenbeath
2 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Hamilton
(Home) 03 Nov
Hamilton
2 : 1 Raith
31 Oct
Hamilton
1 : 1 Montrose
27 Oct
Ross County
1 : 1 Hamilton
24 Oct
Hamilton
2 : 1 East Fife
17 Oct
Airdrieonians
1 : 2 Hamilton
Page 1 of 6
03 Nov
Hamilton
2 : 1 Raith
31 Oct
Hamilton
1 : 1 Montrose
24 Oct
Hamilton
2 : 1 East Fife
03 Oct
Hamilton
2 : 1 Peterhead
26 Sept
Hamilton
3 : 0 Kilmarnock B
Page 1 of 3
Cowdenbeath
(Away) 24 Oct
Brora Rangers
3 : 1 Cowdenbeath
17 Oct
Cowdenbeath
2 : 2 Bonnyrigg Rose
13 Oct
Cowdenbeath
2 : 3 Celtic B
03 Oct
Cowdenbeath
4 : 0 Berwick
26 Sept
Cowdenbeath
1 : 3 Clyde
Page 1 of 6
24 Oct
Brora Rangers
3 : 1 Cowdenbeath
23 Sept
Hamilton
1 : 0 Cowdenbeath
12 Sept
Hill Of Beath
2 : 0 Cowdenbeath
29 Aug
Linlithgow Rose
3 : 2 Cowdenbeath
11 Aug
Edinburgh City
3 : 1 Cowdenbeath
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clydebank FC | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 17:4 | 16 |
| 2 | Ross County | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 30:7 | 15 |
| 3 | Airdrieonians | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 21:8 | 15 |
| 4 | Cove Rangers | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 19:7 | 15 |
| 5 | Peterhead | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12:4 | 15 |
| 6 | East Kilbride | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 19:13 | 13 |
| 7 | Elgin City | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14:3 | 12 |
| 8 | Alloa | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12:5 | 12 |
| 9 | Hamilton | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:4 | 12 |
| 10 | Montrose | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13:8 | 12 |
| 11 | Celtic B | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 18:14 | 12 |
| 12 | Queen of the South | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:5 | 11 |
| 13 | Stirling | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 16:12 | 11 |
| 14 | Aberdeen B | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bonnyrigg Rose | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:11 | 10 |
| 16 | Edinburgh City | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:9 | 10 |
| 17 | Berwick | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:15 | 10 |
| 18 | St. Mirren B | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15:9 | 9 |
| 19 | Annan | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:5 | 9 |
| 20 | Formartine Utd | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12:10 | 9 |
| 21 | Spartans | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:7 | 9 |
| 22 | Kelty Hearts | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15:15 | 9 |
| 23 | Hearts B | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17:29 | 9 |
| 24 | Cumbernauld Colts | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:10 | 8 |
| 25 | Stranraer | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 16:15 | 7 |
| 26 | East Fife | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13:13 | 7 |
| 27 | Forfar Athletic | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:9 | 7 |
| 28 | Banks O' Dee | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:14 | 7 |
| 29 | Dumbarton | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10:19 | 7 |
| 30 | Rangers B | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11:11 | 6 |
| 31 | Clyde | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11:15 | 6 |
| 32 | Kilmarnock B | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11:16 | 5 |
| 33 | Clachnacuddin | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11:17 | 4 |
| 34 | Fraserburgh | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:21 | 4 |
| 35 | Dundee FC B | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7:15 | 3 |
| 36 | Dundee Utd B | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5:14 | 3 |
| 37 | Gala Fairydean Rovers | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:17 | 2 |
| 38 | Hibernian B | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4:14 | 1 |
| 39 | Cowdenbeath | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6:15 | 0 |
| 40 | Motherwell B | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:20 | 0 |
Promotion - Challenge Cup (Play Offs)
