Sport Picks

Scotland

League Cup ZLX Stadium, Hamilton

Hamilton

5 - 0

Elgin City

Our Tip

Match Events

23'

Bannigan S.

25'

Bannigan S.

(Penalty)

26'

Neill M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 5-0. This leg finished 5-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%

Hamilton

15%

Draws

40%

Elgin City

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hamilton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence

Hamilton have won more games recently than Elgin City.
Model gives Hamilton a 45% chance of winning this.
Hamilton have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Hamilton, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Hamilton have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%

Hamilton Clean Sheet 68%

Elgin City Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Hamilton	Elgin City
Matches Played	26	27
Wins	16	10
Draws	4	6
Losses	6	11
Goals Scored	1.96	1.96
Goals Conceded	0.92	1.41
Expected Goals (xG)	1.19	1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 League Cup

Hamilton vs Elgin City

5:0

Apr 27, 2001 League Two

Hamilton vs Elgin City

3:0

Apr 9, 2001 League Two

Elgin City vs Hamilton

0:3

Oct 20, 2000 League Two

Hamilton vs Elgin City

4:1

Aug 11, 2000 League Two

Elgin City vs Hamilton

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hamilton Compare

Top Goalscorer Bannigan S.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Crookston G.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.92

Avg xA / game 0.59

Elgin City Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42

Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hamilton 50 / 100

Elgin City 27 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Hamilton Elgin City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hamilton Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hamilton scored in 85% of their last 26 games.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Elgin City has conceded goals in 70% of their last 27 outings.

Solid form: Hamilton remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hamilton VS Elgin City

1.38 Goals Scored 2.63

0.5 Goals Conceded 1

38% Over 1.5 88%

38% Over 2.5 63%

38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Hamilton

(Home)

08 Sept

Spartans

0 : 4

Hamilton

05 Sept

East Kilbride

0 : 1

Hamilton

29 Aug

Hamilton

1 : 0

Cove Rangers

25 Aug

Hamilton

0 : 1

Edinburgh City

22 Aug

East Fife

0 : 0

Hamilton

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Elgin City

(Away)

12 Sept

Annan

2 : 0

Elgin City

08 Sept

Elgin City

7 : 0

Fraserburgh

05 Sept

Dumbarton

2 : 1

Elgin City

29 Aug

Elgin City

4 : 0

Stirling

25 Aug

Clachnacuddin

0 : 2

Elgin City

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