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Hamilton vs Kilmarnock B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup ZLX Stadium, Hamilton
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
MacDonald K.
Assist: Thomas D.
31' Event
Thomas D.
78' Event
Bradley S.
Assist: McKinstry S.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. The second leg ended 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
Hamilton
15%
Draws
18%
Kilmarnock B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hamilton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Kilmarnock B haven't matched Hamilton's recent run of results.
  • Hamilton are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Hamilton have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Hamilton, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Hamilton Clean Sheet 20%
Kilmarnock B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hamilton Kilmarnock B
Matches Played 35 17
Wins 25 4
Draws 5 1
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 2.17 1.59
Goals Conceded 0.69 2.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.90 0.92
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Challenge Cup
Hamilton vs Kilmarnock B
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hamilton Compare

Top Goalscorer MacDonald K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Thomas D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.46
Avg xA / game 0.95

Kilmarnock B Compare

Avg xG / game 0.84
Avg xA / game 0.51

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hamilton 85 / 100
Kilmarnock B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hamilton Kilmarnock B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hamilton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 7:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Hamilton scored in 89% of their last 35 outings.

Kilmarnock B has conceded goals in 94% of their last 17 outings.

Recent resilience: Hamilton stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Hamilton VS Kilmarnock B
1.63 Goals Scored 1.33
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.17
38% Over 1.5 83%
38% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Hamilton

(Home)
03 Oct
Hamilton
2 : 1
Peterhead
26 Sept
Hamilton
3 : 0
Kilmarnock B
23 Sept
Hamilton
1 : 0
Cowdenbeath
19 Sept
Hamilton
4 : 1
Queen of the South
08 Sept
Spartans
0 : 4
Hamilton
Page 1 of 7

Kilmarnock B

(Away)
26 Sept
Hamilton
3 : 0
Kilmarnock B
22 Sept
Dumbarton
3 : 2
Kilmarnock B
08 Sept
Cowdenbeath
1 : 2
Kilmarnock B
25 Aug
Cumbernauld Colts
1 : 1
Kilmarnock B
11 Aug
East Kilbride
5 : 3
Kilmarnock B
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Clydebank FC 5 4 1 0 13:4 13
2 Ross County 5 4 0 1 28:6 12
3 Airdrieonians 5 4 0 1 18:6 12
4 Elgin City 5 4 0 1 14:2 12
5 Cove Rangers 5 4 0 1 17:6 12
6 Peterhead 5 4 0 1 11:4 12
7 Alloa 5 3 2 0 12:5 11
8 Queen of the South 5 3 2 0 11:4 11
9 East Kilbride 5 3 1 1 17:12 10
10 Stirling 5 3 1 1 14:10 10
11 Edinburgh City 5 3 1 1 6:4 10
12 St. Mirren B 5 3 0 2 14:8 9
13 Hamilton 5 3 0 2 9:4 9
14 Montrose 5 3 0 2 11:7 9
15 Celtic B 5 2 3 0 15:12 9
16 Formartine Utd 5 3 0 2 11:8 9
17 Kelty Hearts 5 3 0 2 14:13 9
18 Bonnyrigg Rose 5 3 0 2 8:10 9
19 Hearts B 5 3 0 2 15:26 9
20 Annan 5 2 2 1 9:5 8
21 Spartans 5 2 2 1 8:6 8
22 Aberdeen B 5 2 1 2 10:8 7
23 East Fife 5 2 1 2 12:11 7
24 Forfar Athletic 5 2 1 2 5:7 7
25 Berwick 5 2 1 2 10:15 7
26 Dumbarton 5 2 1 2 10:15 7
27 Stranraer 5 2 0 3 13:12 6
28 Rangers B 5 2 0 3 11:10 6
29 Clachnacuddin 5 1 1 3 10:12 4
30 Kilmarnock B 5 1 1 3 8:13 4
31 Banks O' Dee 5 1 1 3 6:14 4
32 Fraserburgh 5 1 1 3 5:18 4
33 Clyde 5 1 0 4 6:14 3
34 Dundee Utd B 5 1 0 4 4:12 3
35 Cumbernauld Colts 5 0 2 3 4:13 2
36 Gala Fairydean Rovers 5 0 2 3 3:15 2
37 Cowdenbeath 5 0 0 5 4:12 0
38 Dundee FC B 5 0 0 5 4:13 0
39 Hibernian B 5 0 0 5 2:12 0
40 Motherwell B 5 0 0 5 4:18 0
Promotion - Challenge Cup (Play Offs)