Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hamilton vs Peterhead

Scotland Scotland

League One ZLX Stadium, Hamilton
Sat, Oct 3, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hamilton host Peterhead in the League One. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Hamilton have averaged 1.91 scored and 0.91 conceded recently, against Peterhead's 1.43 scored and 1.3 conceded. Past meetings favor Hamilton slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 11, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.88 - 0.69) back Hamilton to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Hamilton
15%
Draws
24%
Peterhead
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hamilton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Hamilton carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Hamilton a 61% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Hamilton here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Hamilton Clean Sheet 68%
Peterhead Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hamilton Peterhead
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 20 14
Draws 4 3
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.91 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 League Cup
Peterhead vs Hamilton
0:1
Apr 25, 2026 League One
Hamilton vs Peterhead
3:1
Jan 17, 2026 League One
Peterhead vs Hamilton
2:3
Nov 8, 2025 League One
Hamilton vs Peterhead
3:0
Sep 13, 2025 League One
Peterhead vs Hamilton
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hamilton 95 / 100
Peterhead 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hamilton Peterhead

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hamilton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hamilton scored in 84% of their last 32 games.

Defensive concern: Peterhead conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Hamilton remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hamilton VS Peterhead
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
38% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hamilton

(Home)
23 Sept
Hamilton
1 : 0
Cowdenbeath
19 Sept
Hamilton
4 : 1
Queen of the South
08 Sept
Spartans
0 : 4
Hamilton
05 Sept
East Kilbride
0 : 1
Hamilton
29 Aug
Hamilton
1 : 0
Cove Rangers
Page 1 of 7

Peterhead

(Away)
22 Sept
Forfar Athletic
0 : 2
Peterhead
19 Sept
Peterhead
1 : 2
Airdrieonians
12 Sept
East Kilbride
3 : 1
Peterhead
08 Sept
Peterhead
2 : 1
Clachnacuddin
05 Sept
Peterhead
0 : 3
Montrose
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ross County 7 6 1 0 22:4 19
2 Hamilton 7 6 1 0 16:1 19
3 Montrose 8 5 0 3 13:13 15
4 East Kilbride 8 4 1 3 14:12 13
5 Alloa 8 2 3 3 8:6 9
6 Airdrieonians 8 2 3 3 6:11 9
7 East Fife 8 1 5 2 7:7 8
8 Peterhead 8 2 1 5 6:14 7
9 Cove Rangers 8 1 2 5 5:11 5
10 Queen of the South 8 1 1 6 6:24 4
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)