Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hamilton W vs Aberdeen W

Scotland Scotland

SWPL 1 Women 2025/2026 New Douglas Park, Hamilton
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Giard J.
22' Event
Miller D.
35' Event
Gray G.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this SWPL 1 Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Hamilton W
15%
Draws
0%
Aberdeen W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hamilton W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aberdeen W lately — more wins on the board than Hamilton W.
  • Model gives Hamilton W a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular SWPL 1 Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Hamilton W Clean Sheet 10%
Aberdeen W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hamilton W Aberdeen W
Matches Played 31 35
Wins 4 11
Draws 2 2
Losses 25 22
Goals Scored 0.81 1.54
Goals Conceded 3.94 2.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 SWPL Cup Women
Hamilton W vs Aberdeen W
2:1
May 10, 2026 SWPL 1 Women
Aberdeen W vs Hamilton W
4:0
Mar 22, 2026 SWPL 1 Women
Hamilton W vs Aberdeen W
2:3
Feb 1, 2026 SWPL 1 Women
Hamilton W vs Aberdeen W
2:2
Oct 12, 2025 SWPL 1 Women
Aberdeen W vs Hamilton W
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hamilton W Compare

Top Goalscorer Giard J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Aberdeen W Compare

Top Goalscorer Miller D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hamilton W 83 / 100
Aberdeen W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hamilton W Aberdeen W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hamilton W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aberdeen W has conceded goals in 83% of their last 35 outings.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Aberdeen W registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Solid form: Hamilton W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hamilton W VS Aberdeen W
1.63 Goals Scored 2
3 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Hamilton W

(Home)
13 Sept
Motherwell W
2 : 0
Hamilton W
09 Aug
Montrose W
9 : 0
Hamilton W
05 Aug
Hamilton W
3 : 0
Livingston W
02 Aug
Renfrew W
0 : 8
Hamilton W
26 Jul
Hamilton W
2 : 1
Aberdeen W
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Aberdeen W

(Away)
20 Sept
Rangers W
3 : 1
Aberdeen W
06 Sept
Spartans W
3 : 1
Aberdeen W
30 Aug
Aberdeen W
0 : 3
Partick W
23 Aug
Aberdeen W
0 : 3
Glasgow City W
16 Aug
Hearts W
6 : 0
Aberdeen W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Glasgow City W 18 14 4 0 49:6 46
2 Rangers W 18 13 2 3 62:16 41
3 Celtic W 18 13 2 3 53:17 41
4 Hearts W 18 13 1 4 65:21 40
5 Hibernian W 18 10 4 4 47:15 34
6 Partick W 18 5 2 11 13:47 17
7 Montrose W 18 4 3 11 17:52 15
8 Motherwell W 18 3 2 13 15:45 11
9 Aberdeen W 18 3 2 13 17:48 11
10 Hamilton W 18 0 2 16 8:79 2
Promotion - SWPL 1 Women 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - SWPL 1 Women 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)