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Hamilton W vs Gartcairn W

Scotland Scotland

SWPL 1 Women 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
McTear G.
57' Event
Muir C.
75' Event
McTear G.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Hamilton W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Hamilton W
15%
Draws
34%
Gartcairn W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hamilton W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Gartcairn W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 34% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Gartcairn W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Hamilton W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 95%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 95%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Hamilton W Clean Sheet 10%
Gartcairn W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hamilton W Gartcairn W
Matches Played 32 16
Wins 5 6
Draws 2 0
Losses 25 10
Goals Scored 0.84 1.94
Goals Conceded 3.84 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.46 3.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2023 SWPL 1 Women
Hamilton W vs Gartcairn W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hamilton W Compare

Top Goalscorer Muir C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.12
Avg xA / game 0.73

Gartcairn W Compare

Top Goalscorer McTear G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.03
Avg xA / game 1.85

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hamilton W 30 / 100
Gartcairn W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hamilton W Gartcairn W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gartcairn W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gartcairn W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 16 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Hamilton W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Gartcairn W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hamilton W VS Gartcairn W
0.75 Goals Scored 2.17
4.5 Goals Conceded 2.17
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
88% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Hamilton W

(Home)
13 Sept
Motherwell W
2 : 0
Hamilton W
09 Aug
Montrose W
9 : 0
Hamilton W
05 Aug
Hamilton W
3 : 0
Livingston W
02 Aug
Renfrew W
0 : 8
Hamilton W
26 Jul
Hamilton W
2 : 1
Aberdeen W
Page 1 of 7

Gartcairn W

(Away)
13 Sept
Partick W
3 : 0
Gartcairn W
26 Aug
Gartcairn W
4 : 3
Dundee Utd W
09 Aug
Gartcairn W
1 : 2
Boroughmuir W
05 Aug
Motherwell W
2 : 1
Gartcairn W
02 Aug
Gartcairn W
3 : 1
Queen's Park W
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Hamilton W 2
Gartcairn W 1