Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hamilton W vs Montrose W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

SWPL 1 Women 2025/2026 New Douglas Park, Hamilton
Hamilton W Logo

Hamilton W

0 - 5
FT
Montrose W Logo

Montrose W

Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Taylor D.
Assist: Martin S.
35' Event
McDonald K.
Assist: Brown L.
79' Event
McDonald K.
Assist: Brown L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Montrose W in this SWPL 1 Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Montrose W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Hamilton W
15%
Draws
0%
Montrose W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hamilton W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Montrose W lately — more wins on the board than Hamilton W.
  • Model gives Hamilton W a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Montrose W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 66%
Over 4.5 Goals 30%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Hamilton W Clean Sheet 10%
Montrose W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hamilton W Montrose W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 3 12
Draws 2 3
Losses 25 16
Goals Scored 0.77 2.06
Goals Conceded 4.03 2.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.62 3.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 SWPL Cup Women
Montrose W vs Hamilton W
9:0
May 17, 2026 SWPL 1 Women
Hamilton W vs Montrose W
0:5
Mar 15, 2026 SWPL 1 Women
Montrose W vs Hamilton W
6:0
Dec 21, 2025 SWPL 1 Women
Hamilton W vs Montrose W
1:1
Sep 21, 2025 SWPL 1 Women
Montrose W vs Hamilton W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hamilton W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Montrose W Compare

Top Goalscorer McDonald K.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Taylor D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.18
Avg xA / game 1.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hamilton W 83 / 100
Montrose W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hamilton W Montrose W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hamilton W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Montrose W conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Montrose W's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Recent resilience: Hamilton W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hamilton W VS Montrose W
1.86 Goals Scored 4
3 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
86% Over 2.5 88%
57% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Hamilton W

(Home)
13 Sept
Motherwell W
2 : 0
Hamilton W
09 Aug
Montrose W
9 : 0
Hamilton W
05 Aug
Hamilton W
3 : 0
Livingston W
02 Aug
Renfrew W
0 : 8
Hamilton W
26 Jul
Hamilton W
2 : 1
Aberdeen W
Page 1 of 6

Montrose W

(Away)
04 Oct
Montrose W
1 : 3
Glasgow City W
27 Sept
Partick W
3 : 2
Montrose W
20 Sept
Hibernian W
6 : 1
Montrose W
13 Sept
Boroughmuir W
1 : 0
Montrose W
06 Sept
Montrose W
0 : 7
Hearts W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Motherwell W 24 8 3 13 35:52 27
8 Montrose W 24 8 3 13 33:60 27
9 Aberdeen W 24 5 3 16 30:59 18
10 Hamilton W 24 0 2 22 10:104 2
Relegation - SWPL 1 Women 2025/2026 (Relegation)