Sport Picks
Hammam-Lif vs EM Mahdia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Tunisia
Ligue 2 2025/2026 
Match Events
17'
17'
Sfaxi F.
AI Match Summary
The Ligue 2 2025/2026 game between Hammam-Lif and EM Mahdia finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward EM Mahdia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: EM Mahdia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- EM Mahdia haven't matched Hammam-Lif's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors EM Mahdia here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
Hammam-Lif Clean Sheet 23%
EM Mahdia Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hammam-Lif | EM Mahdia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.58 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 18, 2026 Ligue 2
Hammam-Lif vs EM Mahdia
0:1
Sep 20, 2025 Ligue 2
EM Mahdia vs Hammam-Lif
2:1
Mar 16, 2025 Ligue 2
Hammam-Lif vs EM Mahdia
3:0
Nov 24, 2024 Ligue 2
EM Mahdia vs Hammam-Lif
2:1
May 13, 2023 Ligue 2
EM Mahdia vs Hammam-Lif
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hammam-Lif Compare
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
EM Mahdia Compare
Top Goalscorer Sfaxi F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hammam-Lif 37 / 100
EM Mahdia 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hammam-Lif EM Mahdia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick EM Mahdia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: EM Mahdia conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Attacking prowess: Hammam-Lif scored in 35% of their last 31 outings.
Solid form: Hammam-Lif remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Hammam-Lif VS EM Mahdia
1 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Hammam-Lif
(Home) 20 Sept
Ben Guerdane
1 : 0 Hammam-Lif
13 Sept
Hammam-Lif
0 : 1 Esperance Tunis
05 Sept
PS Sakiet Eddaier
1 : 0 Hammam-Lif
30 Aug
Hammam-Lif
0 : 1 CA Bizertin
30 May
Hammam-Lif
3 : 0 Stade Gabesien
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Hammam-Lif
0 : 1 Esperance Tunis
30 Aug
Hammam-Lif
0 : 1 CA Bizertin
30 May
Hammam-Lif
3 : 0 Stade Gabesien
25 May
Hammam-Lif
1 : 0 Kasserine
11 May
Hammam-Lif
1 : 1 Hamam-Sousse
Page 1 of 4
EM Mahdia
(Away) 03 Oct
EM Mahdia
2 : 1 Kerkennah
26 Sept
Sporting Ben Arous
1 : 2 EM Mahdia
10 Sept
EM Mahdia
3 : 0 Ksour Essef
11 May
EM Mahdia
1 : 3 Kerkennah
01 May
Menzel Bourguiba
1 : 0 EM Mahdia
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Sporting Ben Arous
1 : 2 EM Mahdia
01 May
Menzel Bourguiba
1 : 0 EM Mahdia
18 Apr
Megrine
0 : 0 EM Mahdia
05 Apr
AS Agareb
0 : 0 EM Mahdia
23 Mar
Ajim Djerba
2 : 0 EM Mahdia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamam-Sousse | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 40:19 | 51 |
| 2 | Hammam-Lif | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 36:14 | 51 |
| 3 | US Tataouine | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 34:16 | 51 |
| 4 | Sfax Railways | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 35:26 | 46 |
| 5 | Sporting Ben Arous | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 30:19 | 34 |
| 6 | Kerkennah | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 27:27 | 34 |
| 7 | Chebba | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 33:37 | 33 |
| 8 | Msaken | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 23:28 | 31 |
| 9 | BS Bouhajla | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 21:23 | 30 |
| 10 | Megrine | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 25:35 | 30 |
| 11 | EM Mahdia | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 18:25 | 28 |
| 12 | AS Agareb | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 22:33 | 28 |
| 13 | Bousalem | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 19:34 | 25 |
| 14 | Menzel Bourguiba | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 15:42 | 17 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PS Sakiet Eddaier | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 54:15 | 56 |
| 2 | Stade Gabesien | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 43:16 | 53 |
| 3 | Kasserine | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 31:18 | 47 |
| 4 | Jendouba Sport | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 34:24 | 38 |
| 5 | Korba | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 21:20 | 37 |
| 6 | Bouchamma | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 35:30 | 35 |
| 7 | Gafsa | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 28:31 | 34 |
| 8 | Ariana | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 26:32 | 32 |
| 9 | Ksour Essef | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 40:34 | 32 |
| 10 | Redeyef | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:39 | 32 |
| 11 | Kalaa | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 28:44 | 30 |
| 12 | Moknine | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29:36 | 29 |
| 13 | Djelma | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 16:33 | 26 |
| 14 | Sidi Bouzid | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 17:57 | 14 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
