Sport Picks
Hammam-Lif vs Oued Ellil - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Tunisia
Ligue 2 2024/2025 
Match Events
7'
7'
Nouicer B.
27'
27'
Jarraya I.
40'
40'
Nouicer B.
AI Match Summary
The Ligue 2 2024/2025 game between Hammam-Lif and Oued Ellil finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hammam-Lif.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
22%
20%
58%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Oued Ellil
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Hammam-Lif come out ahead of Oued Ellil on wins alone.
- 58% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Ligue 2 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Hammam-Lif Clean Sheet 23%
Oued Ellil Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hammam-Lif | Oued Ellil |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.18 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.64 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 5, 2025 Ligue 2
Oued Ellil vs Hammam-Lif
1:1
Dec 20, 2024 Ligue 2
Hammam-Lif vs Oued Ellil
3:2
Apr 28, 2024 Ligue 2
Oued Ellil vs Hammam-Lif
1:0
Nov 19, 2023 Ligue 2
Hammam-Lif vs Oued Ellil
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hammam-Lif Compare
Top Goalscorer Nouicer B.
2 Goals Assists Leader Jarraya I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Oued Ellil Compare
Top Goalscorer Dahmene A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hammam-Lif 37 / 100
Oued Ellil 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hammam-Lif Oued Ellil
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Oued Ellil Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Oued Ellil's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Hammam-Lif found the back of the net in 39% of recent matches (33 games).
Hammam-Lif has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Hammam-Lif VS Oued Ellil
1.5 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Hammam-Lif
(Home) 20 Sept
Ben Guerdane
1 : 0 Hammam-Lif
13 Sept
Hammam-Lif
0 : 1 Esperance Tunis
05 Sept
PS Sakiet Eddaier
1 : 0 Hammam-Lif
30 Aug
Hammam-Lif
0 : 1 CA Bizertin
30 May
Hammam-Lif
3 : 0 Stade Gabesien
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Hammam-Lif
0 : 1 Esperance Tunis
30 Aug
Hammam-Lif
0 : 1 CA Bizertin
30 May
Hammam-Lif
3 : 0 Stade Gabesien
25 May
Hammam-Lif
1 : 0 Kasserine
11 May
Hammam-Lif
1 : 1 Hamam-Sousse
Page 1 of 4
Oued Ellil
(Away) 08 Feb
Sahline
2 : 1 Oued Ellil
24 May
Kalaa
2 : 2 Oued Ellil
17 May
Oued Ellil
2 : 1 EM Mahdia
10 May
Ariana
0 : 1 Oued Ellil
05 May
Oued Ellil
1 : 1 Hammam-Lif
Page 1 of 6
08 Feb
Sahline
2 : 1 Oued Ellil
24 May
Kalaa
2 : 2 Oued Ellil
10 May
Ariana
0 : 1 Oued Ellil
26 Apr
Rades
0 : 1 Oued Ellil
19 Apr
Korba
2 : 0 Oued Ellil
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Marsa | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 40:17 | 53 |
| 2 | Megrine | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 49:23 | 52 |
| 3 | Jendouba Sport | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 38:19 | 49 |
| 4 | Hamam-Sousse | 26 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 36:28 | 36 |
| 5 | Korba | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 22:28 | 36 |
| 6 | Hammam-Lif | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 25:26 | 34 |
| 7 | Msaken | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 18:17 | 33 |
| 8 | Ariana | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 33:33 | 33 |
| 9 | Kalaa | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 30:34 | 31 |
| 10 | EM Mahdia | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 26:37 | 31 |
| 11 | Moknine | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 27:30 | 30 |
| 12 | Menzel Bourguiba | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 18:27 | 30 |
| 13 | Oued Ellil | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 23:32 | 27 |
| 14 | Rades | 26 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 16:50 | 14 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 (Main)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JS Kairouan | 26 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 30:11 | 54 |
| 2 | Kasserine | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 36:17 | 53 |
| 3 | Kerkennah | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 36:21 | 44 |
| 4 | Sfax Railways | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 35:22 | 44 |
| 5 | PS Sakiet Eddaier | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 32:23 | 44 |
| 6 | BS Bouhajla | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 21:22 | 33 |
| 7 | Redeyef | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 23:25 | 33 |
| 8 | Djelma | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 26:26 | 32 |
| 9 | Sidi Bouzid | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:28 | 32 |
| 10 | Chebba | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 24:29 | 32 |
| 11 | Stade Gabesien | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 13:23 | 30 |
| 12 | AS Agareb | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 23:35 | 30 |
| 13 | ES Jerba | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 15:24 | 26 |
| 14 | Espoir Rogba | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 19:54 | 13 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 (Main)
