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Hammarby TFF vs FC Jarfalla - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Hammarby IP, Stockholm
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Match Events

40' Event
Marrah K.
Assist: Johansson A.
40'
Sub
Markovski D. In: Drugge E.
Out: Markovski D.
45' Event
Medhin T N.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 1 - Norra matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Hammarby TFF
20%
Draws
29%
FC Jarfalla
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hammarby TFF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Hammarby TFF have won more games recently than FC Jarfalla.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Hammarby TFF taking it.
  • Regular Division 1 - Norra form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Hammarby TFF Clean Sheet 19%
FC Jarfalla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hammarby TFF FC Jarfalla
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 5
Draws 7 5
Losses 8 19
Goals Scored 1.89 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.18 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 18, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Hammarby TFF vs FC Jarfalla
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hammarby TFF Compare

Top Goalscorer Marrah K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

FC Jarfalla Compare

Top Goalscorer Medhin T N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hammarby TFF 42 / 100
FC Jarfalla 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hammarby TFF FC Jarfalla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: FC Jarfalla conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Hammarby TFF found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Hammarby TFF remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hammarby TFF VS FC Jarfalla
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Hammarby TFF

(Home)
04 Oct
Umea FC
2 : 1
Hammarby TFF
25 Sept
Hammarby TFF
2 : 1
IFK Stocksund
21 Sept
FC Arlanda
4 : 2
Hammarby TFF
17 Sept
Vasalund
0 : 0
Hammarby TFF
12 Sept
Hammarby TFF
1 : 0
Sollentuna
Page 1 of 6

FC Jarfalla

(Away)
03 Oct
IFK Stocksund
1 : 1
FC Jarfalla
26 Sept
FC Jarfalla
2 : 4
AFC Eskilstuna
20 Sept
Pitea
3 : 1
FC Jarfalla
17 Sept
FC Jarfalla
5 : 0
Karlbergs
12 Sept
Gefle
3 : 1
FC Jarfalla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Stockholm Internazionale 25 18 3 4 60:20 57
2 FC Arlanda 25 14 6 5 46:28 48
3 AFC Eskilstuna 25 14 5 6 47:34 47
4 Hammarby TFF 25 13 6 6 51:25 45
5 FBK Karlstad 25 12 7 6 41:35 43
6 Enkopings SK 25 13 3 9 38:40 42
7 Karlstad 25 11 8 6 37:25 41
8 Assyriska FF 25 9 5 11 43:45 32
9 Umea FC 25 9 5 11 34:41 32
10 Karlbergs 25 9 5 11 33:41 32
11 Gefle 25 9 3 13 29:43 30
12 Vasalund 25 7 6 12 36:52 27
13 Sollentuna 25 5 9 11 24:36 24
14 Pitea 25 5 7 13 30:46 22
15 FC Jarfalla 25 5 4 16 33:55 19
16 IFK Stocksund 25 3 6 16 45:61 15
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)