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Stadium Background

Hammarby TFF vs Karlbergs

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Fernandez H.
41' Event
Jemal A.
79' Event
Jamshidi A.

AI Match Summary

Karlbergs in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Karlbergs.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Hammarby TFF
20%
Draws
29%
Karlbergs
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hammarby TFF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Hammarby TFF at 1.93 per game, Karlbergs at 1.33.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Hammarby TFF taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Hammarby TFF Clean Sheet 20%
Karlbergs Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hammarby TFF Karlbergs
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 13 13
Draws 7 5
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.93 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Hammarby TFF vs Karlbergs
0:0
Jun 14, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Karlbergs vs Hammarby TFF
0:2
Mar 22, 2026 Club Friendly
Hammarby TFF vs Karlbergs
0:3
Oct 20, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
Hammarby TFF vs Karlbergs
1:1
May 23, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
Karlbergs vs Hammarby TFF
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hammarby TFF Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Karlbergs Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jemal A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hammarby TFF 76 / 100
Karlbergs 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hammarby TFF Karlbergs

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hammarby TFF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Hammarby TFF scored in 78% of their last 27 outings.

Karlbergs's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Hammarby TFF went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hammarby TFF VS Karlbergs
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hammarby TFF

(Home)
25 Sept
Hammarby TFF
2 : 1
IFK Stocksund
21 Sept
FC Arlanda
4 : 2
Hammarby TFF
17 Sept
Vasalund
0 : 0
Hammarby TFF
12 Sept
Hammarby TFF
1 : 0
Sollentuna
05 Sept
FC Stockholm Internazionale
3 : 0
Hammarby TFF
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Karlbergs

(Away)
27 Sept
Karlstad
1 : 1
Karlbergs
20 Sept
Karlbergs
0 : 2
FC Stockholm Internazionale
17 Sept
FC Jarfalla
5 : 0
Karlbergs
12 Sept
Karlbergs
1 : 0
FC Arlanda
06 Sept
Pitea
3 : 0
Karlbergs
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