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Hammarby TFF vs Pitea - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Hammarby IP, Stockholm
Hammarby TFF Logo

Hammarby TFF

1 - 1
FT
Pitea Logo

Pitea

Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Jordan L.
Assist: Johnson J.
23'
Sub
Bergstrom H. In: Berglund C.
Out: Bergstrom H.
29'
Sub
Andren G. In: Gibson W.
Out: Andren G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 - Norra game between Hammarby TFF and Pitea finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Hammarby TFF
20%
Draws
40%
Pitea
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Hammarby TFF carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Hammarby TFF a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Hammarby TFF have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Hammarby TFF Clean Sheet 18%
Pitea Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hammarby TFF Pitea
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 7 7
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.89 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Hammarby TFF vs Pitea
1:1
Apr 19, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Pitea vs Hammarby TFF
1:4
Nov 9, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
Pitea vs Hammarby TFF
1:4
May 26, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
Hammarby TFF vs Pitea
5:1
Aug 27, 2023 Division 1 - Norra
Pitea vs Hammarby TFF
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hammarby TFF Compare

Top Goalscorer Marrah K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Pitea Compare

Top Goalscorer Jordan L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hammarby TFF 36 / 100
Pitea 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hammarby TFF Pitea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pitea's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Hammarby TFF found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Solid form: Hammarby TFF remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hammarby TFF VS Pitea
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hammarby TFF

(Home)
04 Oct
Umea FC
2 : 1
Hammarby TFF
25 Sept
Hammarby TFF
2 : 1
IFK Stocksund
21 Sept
FC Arlanda
4 : 2
Hammarby TFF
17 Sept
Vasalund
0 : 0
Hammarby TFF
12 Sept
Hammarby TFF
1 : 0
Sollentuna
Page 1 of 6

Pitea

(Away)
03 Oct
Pitea
1 : 1
Karlstad
27 Sept
Assyriska FF
1 : 2
Pitea
20 Sept
Pitea
3 : 1
FC Jarfalla
16 Sept
Pitea
0 : 2
Umea FC
13 Sept
AFC Eskilstuna
1 : 0
Pitea
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Stockholm Internazionale 25 18 3 4 60:20 57
2 FC Arlanda 25 14 6 5 46:28 48
3 AFC Eskilstuna 25 14 5 6 47:34 47
4 Hammarby TFF 25 13 6 6 51:25 45
5 FBK Karlstad 25 12 7 6 41:35 43
6 Enkopings SK 25 13 3 9 38:40 42
7 Karlstad 25 11 8 6 37:25 41
8 Assyriska FF 25 9 5 11 43:45 32
9 Umea FC 25 9 5 11 34:41 32
10 Karlbergs 25 9 5 11 33:41 32
11 Gefle 25 9 3 13 29:43 30
12 Vasalund 25 7 6 12 36:52 27
13 Sollentuna 25 5 9 11 24:36 24
14 Pitea 25 5 7 13 30:46 22
15 FC Jarfalla 25 5 4 16 33:55 19
16 IFK Stocksund 25 3 6 16 45:61 15
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)