Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hammarby TFF vs Pitea

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Hammarby IP, Stockholm
Sun, Aug 23, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hammarby TFF host Pitea in the Division 1 - Norra. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Hammarby TFF have averaged 2.4 scored and 1.08 conceded recently, against Pitea's 1.36 scored and 1.79 conceded. Past meetings favor Hammarby TFF slightly — 5-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 19, 2026, ending 1:4. The numbers (2.44 xG vs 0.94) point toward Hammarby TFF. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
Hammarby TFF
35%
Draws
10%
Pitea
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Hammarby TFF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • Hammarby TFF carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Hammarby TFF a 55% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Hammarby TFF have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Hammarby TFF Clean Sheet 20%
Pitea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hammarby TFF Pitea
Matches Played 25 28
Wins 15 9
Draws 5 6
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 2.4 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.08 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Pitea vs Hammarby TFF
1:4
Nov 9, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
Pitea vs Hammarby TFF
1:4
May 26, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
Hammarby TFF vs Pitea
5:1
Aug 27, 2023 Division 1 - Norra
Pitea vs Hammarby TFF
1:2
May 1, 2023 Division 1 - Norra
Hammarby TFF vs Pitea
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hammarby TFF 85 / 100
Pitea 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hammarby TFF Pitea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hammarby TFF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hammarby TFF's goal record stands at 92% scoring rate across 25 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Hammarby TFF remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Pitea conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Hammarby TFF VS Pitea
2.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Hammarby TFF

(Home)
09 Aug
Hammarby TFF
1 : 1
FBK Karlstad
03 Aug
Hammarby TFF
5 : 1
FC Arlanda
26 Jun
FBK Karlstad
0 : 7
Hammarby TFF
18 Jun
Hammarby TFF
1 : 1
FC Jarfalla
14 Jun
Karlbergs
0 : 2
Hammarby TFF
Page 1 of 5

Pitea

(Away)
09 Aug
FC Arlanda
0 : 0
Pitea
01 Aug
Pitea
0 : 2
Gefle
24 Jun
Karlbergs
3 : 1
Pitea
21 Jun
Pitea
2 : 2
AFC Eskilstuna
12 Jun
Umea FC
2 : 0
Pitea
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hammarby TFF 16 11 3 2 44:13 36
2 Karlstad 16 11 3 2 28:11 36
3 FC Stockholm Internazionale 16 9 3 4 32:16 30
4 FC Arlanda 16 8 6 2 24:15 30
5 Enkopings SK 16 9 1 6 27:26 28
6 AFC Eskilstuna 16 7 4 5 27:25 25
7 FBK Karlstad 16 7 4 5 24:23 25
8 Karlbergs 16 6 3 7 26:25 21
9 Assyriska FF 16 5 5 6 27:29 20
10 Vasalund 16 5 4 7 23:31 19
11 Gefle 16 5 2 9 19:34 17
12 Umea FC 16 4 4 8 21:28 16
13 FC Jarfalla 16 4 3 9 22:35 15
14 Sollentuna 16 2 8 6 13:23 14
15 IFK Stocksund 16 2 5 9 33:38 11
16 Pitea 16 2 4 10 16:34 10
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)