Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hammarby TFF vs Sollentuna

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Hammarby IP, Stockholm
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Lundell E.
31' Event
Moczarny O.
35'
Grauberg K.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 - Norra game between Hammarby TFF and Sollentuna finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hammarby TFF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Hammarby TFF
30%
Draws
31%
Sollentuna
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hammarby TFF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Hammarby TFF carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Division 1 - Norra form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Hammarby TFF have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Hammarby TFF Clean Sheet 20%
Sollentuna Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hammarby TFF Sollentuna
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 12 6
Draws 8 11
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.89 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Hammarby TFF vs Sollentuna
1:0
May 13, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Sollentuna vs Hammarby TFF
0:2
Sep 22, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
Hammarby TFF vs Sollentuna
4:0
Apr 4, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
Sollentuna vs Hammarby TFF
2:3
Oct 26, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
Sollentuna vs Hammarby TFF
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hammarby TFF Compare

Top Goalscorer Moczarny O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Sollentuna Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hammarby TFF 32 / 100
Sollentuna 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hammarby TFF Sollentuna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Hammarby TFF's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Defensive concern: Sollentuna conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Hammarby TFF went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hammarby TFF VS Sollentuna
1 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hammarby TFF

(Home)
21 Sept
FC Arlanda
4 : 2
Hammarby TFF
17 Sept
Vasalund
0 : 0
Hammarby TFF
12 Sept
Hammarby TFF
1 : 0
Sollentuna
05 Sept
FC Stockholm Internazionale
3 : 0
Hammarby TFF
31 Aug
Hammarby TFF
0 : 0
Karlbergs
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Sollentuna

(Away)
19 Sept
FBK Karlstad
0 : 0
Sollentuna
16 Sept
Sollentuna
2 : 3
Enkopings SK
12 Sept
Hammarby TFF
1 : 0
Sollentuna
05 Sept
Sollentuna
1 : 0
Gefle
29 Aug
AFC Eskilstuna
2 : 1
Sollentuna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Stockholm Internazionale 23 16 3 4 55:19 51
2 AFC Eskilstuna 23 13 4 6 41:30 43
3 Hammarby TFF 23 12 6 5 48:22 42
4 FC Arlanda 23 12 6 5 40:27 42
5 Karlstad 23 11 6 6 35:23 39
6 FBK Karlstad 23 11 6 6 36:32 39
7 Enkopings SK 23 12 3 8 37:38 39
8 Assyriska FF 23 9 5 9 42:40 32
9 Gefle 23 9 3 11 29:41 30
10 Umea FC 23 8 5 10 31:37 29
11 Karlbergs 23 8 4 11 29:38 28
12 Sollentuna 23 5 9 9 21:31 24
13 Vasalund 23 6 6 11 34:48 24
14 Pitea 23 4 6 13 27:44 18
15 FC Jarfalla 23 5 3 15 30:50 18
16 IFK Stocksund 23 3 5 15 43:58 14
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)