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Stadium Background

Hammarby vs AIK

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan 3Arena, Stockholm
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Fofana I.
58' Event
Hove J.
65'
Hahn W.

AI Match Summary

AIK in this Allsvenskan matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored AIK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Hammarby
6%
Draws
4%
AIK
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Hammarby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hammarby lately — more wins on the board than AIK.
  • Model gives Hammarby a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Allsvenskan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Hammarby Clean Sheet 16%
AIK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hammarby AIK
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 17 12
Draws 5 6
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 2 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Allsvenskan
Hammarby vs AIK
1:2
Oct 19, 2025 Allsvenskan
Hammarby vs AIK
2:1
May 18, 2025 Allsvenskan
AIK vs Hammarby
0:0
Sep 29, 2024 Allsvenskan
AIK vs Hammarby
1:0
May 19, 2024 Allsvenskan
Hammarby vs AIK
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hammarby Compare

Top Goalscorer Fofana I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

AIK Compare

Top Goalscorer Hove J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Celina B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hammarby 84 / 100
AIK 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hammarby AIK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Hammarby scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.

AIK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Hammarby went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hammarby VS AIK
2 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hammarby

(Home)
19 Jul
Hammarby
4 : 0
Degerfors
12 Jul
Hammarby
2 : 0
Kalmar
05 Jul
Elfsborg
1 : 2
Hammarby
24 Jun
Hacken
1 : 4
Hammarby
31 May
Hacken
3 : 2
Hammarby
Page 1 of 6

AIK

(Away)
18 Jul
AIK
2 : 0
GAIS
11 Jul
Mjallby
1 : 2
AIK
05 Jul
IFK Goteborg
1 : 2
AIK
28 Jun
AIK
3 : 2
Vasteras SK
22 Jun
AIK
0 : 2
Kalmar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sirius13112036:1635
2Hammarby1482432:1426
3Hacken1365227:2223
4AIK1363418:1821
5Djurgarden1262426:1520
6Malmo FF1362527:2220
7GAIS1454518:1419
8Vasteras SK1354422:2319
9Elfsborg1446418:1718
10Mjallby1345419:1717
11Brommapojkarna1344518:2116
12Kalmar1342716:1914
13IFK Goteborg1334616:2913
14Degerfors1324712:2310
15Orgryte1324714:3110
16Halmstad1313910:286
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)