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Hammarby vs Hacken Prediction & H2H Stats

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan 3Arena, Stockholm
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Renecke W.
Assist: Lind V.
38' Event
Lind V.
46'
Sub
Rygaard M. In: Wawa C.
Out: Rygaard M.

AI Match Summary

Hammarby in this Allsvenskan matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hammarby.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Hammarby
30%
Draws
31%
Hacken
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hammarby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hammarby lately — more wins on the board than Hacken.
  • Win probability leans Hammarby's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Hammarby Clean Sheet 20%
Hacken Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hammarby Hacken
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 12
Draws 6 10
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.97 1.69
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Allsvenskan
Hammarby vs Hacken
3:0
Jun 24, 2026 Club Friendly
Hacken vs Hammarby
1:4
May 31, 2026 Allsvenskan
Hacken vs Hammarby
3:2
Sep 21, 2025 Allsvenskan
Hammarby vs Hacken
4:0
Apr 27, 2025 Allsvenskan
Hacken vs Hammarby
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hammarby Compare

Top Goalscorer Renecke W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lind V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Hacken Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hammarby 36 / 100
Hacken 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hammarby Hacken

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hammarby scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Hacken conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Hammarby went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hammarby VS Hacken
2.25 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hammarby

(Home)
03 Oct
Hammarby
1 : 0
Vasteras SK
20 Sept
Degerfors
0 : 1
Hammarby
13 Sept
Hammarby
3 : 1
Brommapojkarna
06 Sept
Orgryte
1 : 1
Hammarby
30 Aug
AIK
3 : 2
Hammarby
Page 1 of 6

Hacken

(Away)
02 Oct
Elfsborg
0 : 1
Hacken
20 Sept
Kalmar
0 : 5
Hacken
11 Sept
Hacken
1 : 1
Mjallby
05 Sept
GAIS
0 : 0
Hacken
29 Aug
Hacken
1 : 3
Vasteras SK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 22 16 3 3 52:28 51
2 Hammarby 22 13 4 5 49:20 43
3 Djurgarden 22 13 2 7 47:21 41
4 Elfsborg 22 10 7 5 31:22 37
5 Hacken 22 9 9 4 39:30 36
6 Vasteras SK 22 10 5 7 34:35 35
7 Malmo FF 22 10 3 9 37:33 33
8 AIK 22 9 6 7 31:34 33
9 IFK Goteborg 22 9 5 8 31:41 32
10 GAIS 22 8 6 8 28:20 30
11 Brommapojkarna 22 7 6 9 30:36 27
12 Mjallby 22 5 7 10 27:38 22
13 Kalmar 22 5 4 13 21:36 19
14 Degerfors 22 5 4 13 19:34 19
15 Orgryte 22 3 6 13 25:49 15
16 Halmstad 22 3 5 14 16:40 14
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)