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Hammarby vs Orgryte

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan 3Arena, Stockholm
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Persson N.
Assist: Karlsson M.
18' Event
Besara N.
Assist: Persson N.
22' Event
Abraham P.

AI Match Summary

The Allsvenskan game between Hammarby and Orgryte finished 8-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hammarby.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Hammarby
6%
Draws
4%
Orgryte
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Hammarby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hammarby come out ahead of Orgryte on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Hammarby taking it.
  • Regular Allsvenskan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Hammarby Clean Sheet 68%
Orgryte Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hammarby Orgryte
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 17 5
Draws 5 10
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 2 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Allsvenskan
Hammarby vs Orgryte
8:1
Jul 29, 2013 Superettan
Orgryte vs Hammarby
0:3
Jul 20, 2013 Superettan
Hammarby vs Orgryte
0:0
Oct 23, 2010 Superettan
Hammarby vs Orgryte
1:2
Jul 5, 2010 Superettan
Orgryte vs Hammarby
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hammarby Compare

Top Goalscorer Vasic N.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Persson N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Orgryte Compare

Top Goalscorer Styffe C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hammarby 95 / 100
Orgryte 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hammarby Orgryte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Hammarby scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Orgryte has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Hammarby remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hammarby VS Orgryte
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Hammarby

(Home)
19 Jul
Hammarby
4 : 0
Degerfors
12 Jul
Hammarby
2 : 0
Kalmar
05 Jul
Elfsborg
1 : 2
Hammarby
24 Jun
Hacken
1 : 4
Hammarby
31 May
Hacken
3 : 2
Hammarby
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Orgryte

(Away)
20 Jul
Orgryte
0 : 0
Djurgarden
11 Jul
Orgryte
4 : 3
Hacken
05 Jul
Kalmar
3 : 0
Orgryte
25 Jun
Tromso
4 : 1
Orgryte
29 May
Orgryte
2 : 2
Elfsborg
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sirius13112036:1635
2Hammarby1482432:1426
3Hacken1365227:2223
4AIK1363418:1821
5Djurgarden1262426:1520
6Malmo FF1362527:2220
7GAIS1454518:1419
8Vasteras SK1354422:2319
9Elfsborg1446418:1718
10Mjallby1345419:1717
11Brommapojkarna1344518:2116
12Kalmar1342716:1914
13IFK Goteborg1334616:2913
14Degerfors1324712:2310
15Orgryte1324714:3110
16Halmstad1313910:286
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)