Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hammarby vs Sirius - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Svenska Cupen 2025/2026 3Arena, Stockholm
Sun, Mar 22, 2026
4 - 3
12:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Jonsson N.
Assist: Ure R.
49'
Anker T.
56' Event
Karlsson M.
Assist: Persson N.

AI Match Summary

Hammarby in this Svenska Cupen 2025/2026 tie, finishing 4-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Hammarby
20%
Draws
40%
Sirius
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sirius lately — more wins on the board than Hammarby.
  • Win probability leans Hammarby's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Sirius arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Hammarby, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Hammarby Clean Sheet 20%
Sirius Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hammarby Sirius
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 16 18
Draws 6 5
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 2.03 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2026 Allsvenskan
Sirius vs Hammarby
2:0
Mar 22, 2026 Svenska Cupen
Hammarby vs Sirius
4:3
Aug 24, 2025 Allsvenskan
Sirius vs Hammarby
3:1
May 14, 2025 Allsvenskan
Hammarby vs Sirius
3:2
Mar 14, 2025 Club Friendly
Hammarby vs Sirius
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hammarby Compare

Top Goalscorer Karlsson M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Madjed M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Sirius Compare

Top Goalscorer Jonsson N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ure R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hammarby 36 / 100
Sirius 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hammarby Sirius

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hammarby found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Sirius conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Hammarby stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hammarby VS Sirius
2 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hammarby

(Home)
03 Oct
Hammarby
1 : 0
Vasteras SK
20 Sept
Degerfors
0 : 1
Hammarby
13 Sept
Hammarby
3 : 1
Brommapojkarna
06 Sept
Orgryte
1 : 1
Hammarby
30 Aug
AIK
3 : 2
Hammarby
Page 1 of 6

Sirius

(Away)
02 Oct
Brondby
1 : 1
Sirius
19 Sept
Orgryte
1 : 2
Sirius
14 Sept
Sirius
2 : 0
Degerfors
05 Sept
Vasteras SK
0 : 1
Sirius
31 Aug
Sirius
0 : 1
Malmo FF
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Mjallby 4
Malmo FF 0
GAIS 3
AIK 2
Hammarby 1
Djurgarden 0
Sirius 1
IFK Goteborg 0
Semi-finals
Mjallby 3
GAIS 0
Hammarby 4
Sirius 3
Final
Mjallby 2
Hammarby 1