Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hammarby W vs AIK W

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Women Hammarby IP, Stockholm
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Lennartsson S.
37' Event
Sorum E.
(Penalty)
41' Event
Peterson F.
Assist: Hasund V.

AI Match Summary

The Allsvenskan Women game between Hammarby W and AIK W finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hammarby W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Hammarby W
15%
Draws
44%
AIK W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AIK W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Hammarby W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Hammarby W a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Hammarby W Clean Sheet 20%
AIK W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hammarby W AIK W
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 23 15
Draws 2 6
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 2.32 1.57
Goals Conceded 0.61 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Allsvenskan Women
AIK W vs Hammarby W
2:1
Jun 17, 2026 Allsvenskan Women
Hammarby W vs AIK W
4:1
Oct 3, 2025 Allsvenskan Women
Hammarby W vs AIK W
1:0
May 10, 2025 Allsvenskan Women
AIK W vs Hammarby W
1:0
Jul 5, 2024 Allsvenskan Women
Hammarby W vs AIK W
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hammarby W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lennartsson S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Peterson F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

AIK W Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hammarby W 42 / 100
AIK W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hammarby W AIK W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hammarby W's goal record stands at 94% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

AIK W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Hammarby W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hammarby W VS AIK W
2.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hammarby W

(Home)
26 Sept
Hammarby W
3 : 0
Eskilstuna United W
23 Sept
Hammarby W
2 : 0
Rangers W
19 Sept
AIK W
2 : 1
Hammarby W
13 Sept
Vaxjo DFF W
0 : 3
Hammarby W
09 Sept
Hammarby W
5 : 0
Gamla Upsala W
Page 1 of 7

AIK W

(Away)
26 Sept
AIK W
3 : 0
Vaxjo DFF W
22 Sept
KIF Orebro W
0 : 2
AIK W
19 Sept
AIK W
2 : 1
Hammarby W
13 Sept
Pitea W
0 : 1
AIK W
05 Sept
Eskilstuna United W
1 : 1
AIK W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hacken W 20 18 1 1 61:13 55
2 Hammarby W 20 16 2 2 49:10 50
3 Malmo FF W 20 10 6 4 39:14 36
4 AIK W 20 10 4 6 29:27 34
5 Kristianstad W 20 8 5 7 33:32 29
6 Vittsjo W 20 8 5 7 27:26 29
7 IF Brommapojkarna W 20 9 2 9 28:34 29
8 Eskilstuna United W 20 8 3 9 18:25 27
9 Pitea W 20 6 5 9 23:29 23
10 Djurgarden W 20 6 3 11 25:33 21
11 Rosengard W 20 5 5 10 21:25 20
12 Vaxjo DFF W 20 5 3 12 23:40 18
13 Norrkoping W 20 3 7 10 17:35 16
14 IK Uppsala Fotboll W 20 1 3 16 14:64 6
Relegation - Allsvenskan Women (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Elitettan Women 2027 (Main)