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Hampton & Richmond vs Chelmsford Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

National League South Beveree Stadium, London
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Ronan K.
73' Event
Mather J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this National League South matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Hampton & Richmond
35%
Draws
42%
Chelmsford
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Chelmsford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chelmsford lately — more wins on the board than Hampton & Richmond.
  • Win probability leans Chelmsford's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Hampton & Richmond Clean Sheet 13%
Chelmsford Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hampton & Richmond Chelmsford
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 11
Draws 6 13
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 1.34 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 National League South
Hampton & Richmond vs Chelmsford
1:1
Feb 14, 2026 National League South
Hampton & Richmond vs Chelmsford
1:3
Nov 8, 2025 National League South
Chelmsford vs Hampton & Richmond
1:0
Dec 14, 2024 National League South
Hampton & Richmond vs Chelmsford
3:2
Aug 17, 2024 National League South
Chelmsford vs Hampton & Richmond
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hampton & Richmond Compare

Top Goalscorer Mather J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Chelmsford Compare

Top Goalscorer Ronan K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hampton & Richmond 27 / 100
Chelmsford 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hampton & Richmond Chelmsford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chelmsford Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hampton & Richmond's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Chelmsford has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Hampton & Richmond went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hampton & Richmond VS Chelmsford
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hampton & Richmond

(Home)
26 Sept
Dagenham & Red.
1 : 0
Hampton & Richmond
22 Sept
Crowborough
3 : 1
Hampton & Richmond
19 Sept
Hampton & Richmond
3 : 3
Crowborough
12 Sept
Hampton & Richmond
1 : 1
Chelmsford
08 Sept
Hampton & Richmond
2 : 0
Farnborough
Page 1 of 6

Chelmsford

(Away)
03 Oct
Brackley
0 : 2
Chelmsford
26 Sept
Chelmsford
0 : 0
Horsham FC
19 Sept
Canvey Island
0 : 1
Chelmsford
12 Sept
Hampton & Richmond
1 : 1
Chelmsford
08 Sept
Dorking Wanderers
3 : 3
Chelmsford
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maidstone 10 6 1 3 18:11 19
2 Dagenham & Red. 10 6 1 3 10:7 19
3 Salisbury 10 5 3 2 18:7 18
4 Billericay 10 5 3 2 21:14 18
5 Weston-super-Mare 10 5 2 3 18:10 17
6 Truro 9 5 2 2 13:5 17
7 Dover Ath. 10 5 2 3 17:16 17
8 Dorking Wanderers 10 4 4 2 22:16 16
9 Farnham 9 5 1 3 14:12 16
10 Tonbridge 10 4 2 4 19:11 14
11 Maidenhead 10 3 4 3 12:11 13
12 Hemel Hempstead 10 3 4 3 10:10 13
13 Torquay 10 3 4 3 13:14 13
14 Folkestone 9 3 3 3 15:11 12
15 Chelmsford 9 1 8 0 9:8 11
16 Horsham FC 9 2 5 2 9:10 11
17 Farnborough 9 3 2 4 8:13 11
18 Chesham 10 3 1 6 16:19 10
19 Braintree 9 3 1 5 16:22 10
20 AFC Totton 9 3 1 5 8:15 10
21 Ebbsfleet 5 2 3 0 6:3 9
22 Hampton & Richmond 10 2 2 6 11:24 8
23 Slough Town 10 1 1 8 10:24 4
24 Walton & Hersham 9 0 2 7 6:26 2
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