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Hamra Annaba vs US Chaouia

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 2 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

78' Event
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 2022/2023 game between Hamra Annaba and US Chaouia finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hamra Annaba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Hamra Annaba
30%
Draws
47%
US Chaouia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: US Chaouia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and US Chaouia come out ahead of Hamra Annaba on wins alone.
  • Model gives US Chaouia a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligue 2 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Hamra Annaba Clean Sheet 20%
US Chaouia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hamra Annaba US Chaouia
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 3 17
Draws 8 6
Losses 19 8
Goals Scored 0.53 1.74
Goals Conceded 1.47 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2023 Ligue 2
US Chaouia vs Hamra Annaba
1:1
Jan 11, 2023 Ligue 2
Hamra Annaba vs US Chaouia
1:0
Mar 26, 2022 Ligue 2
Hamra Annaba vs US Chaouia
0:1
Dec 11, 2021 Ligue 2
US Chaouia vs Hamra Annaba
1:2
Jan 1, 2011 Algeria Cup
US Chaouia vs Hamra Annaba
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hamra Annaba 10 / 100
US Chaouia 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hamra Annaba US Chaouia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick US Chaouia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: US Chaouia conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Hamra Annaba's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Hamra Annaba stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS US Chaouia
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hamra Annaba

(Home)
03 Jun
US Chaouia
1 : 1
Hamra Annaba
27 May
Hamra Annaba
1 : 2
Khroub
16 May
IB Khemis El Khechna
5 : 0
Hamra Annaba
12 May
Hamra Annaba
1 : 0
Skikda
06 May
Ouargla
3 : 1
Hamra Annaba
Page 1 of 6

US Chaouia

(Away)
18 Sept
US Chaouia
1 : 1
Beni Oulbane
20 May
CR Temouchent
1 : 0
US Chaouia
16 May
Harrach
1 : 2
US Chaouia
09 May
Biskra
1 : 1
US Chaouia
02 May
US Chaouia
3 : 1
JS Djijel
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 US Souf 30 18 10 2 46:18 64
2 Khroub 30 14 12 4 34:18 54
3 Telaghema 30 13 9 8 48:35 48
4 Ghozlane 30 13 9 8 45:36 48
5 Annaba 30 13 5 12 42:31 44
6 IB Khemis El Khechna 30 11 11 8 36:30 44
7 Harrach 30 11 9 10 37:33 42
8 Eulma 30 11 9 10 33:40 42
9 Ouargla 30 10 11 9 35:33 41
10 Bordj Menail 30 11 8 11 32:30 41
11 CA Batna 30 10 10 10 31:28 40
12 Mlila 30 11 7 12 34:33 40
13 MO Constantine 30 11 6 13 39:36 39
14 US Chaouia 30 8 10 12 30:37 34
15 Hamra Annaba 30 3 8 19 16:44 17
16 Skikda 30 3 4 23 11:67 13
Promotion - Ligue 1 2023/2024 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ES Ben Aknoun 30 21 6 3 63:25 69
2 Mostaganem 30 20 5 5 50:19 65
3 JSM Tiaret 30 16 10 4 46:28 58
4 CR Temouchent 30 15 6 9 44:34 51
5 SC Mecheria 30 14 9 7 31:17 51
6 Oued Sly 30 14 7 9 44:35 49
7 El Khemis 30 12 7 11 42:43 43
8 Widad Adabi de Boufarik 30 11 8 11 33:31 41
9 Hussein Dey 30 8 12 10 40:37 36
10 ASM Oran 30 8 11 11 30:33 35
11 Medea 30 9 7 14 33:40 34
12 GC Mascara 30 9 7 14 26:39 34
13 RC Kouba 30 10 4 16 33:40 34
14 Saida 30 7 9 14 33:46 30
15 Tlemcen 30 6 7 17 22:41 25
16 RC Relizane 30 0 5 25 15:77 1
Promotion - Ligue 1 2023/2024 (Main)