Sport Picks
Hamrun vs Ghajnsielem - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Malta
FA Trophy 2022/2023 Victor Tedesco Stadium, Hamrun 
Match Events
12'
12'
Borg L.
Penalty Missed
47'
47'
Patrick
(Penalty)
90'
90'
Mashike E.
AI Match Summary
Hamrun in this FA Trophy 2022/2023 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hamrun
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Hamrun lately — more wins on the board than Ghajnsielem.
- Hamrun are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Hamrun have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Hamrun, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Hamrun Clean Sheet 68%
Ghajnsielem Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hamrun | Ghajnsielem |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 26 |
| Wins | 14 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 0 |
| Losses | 10 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.67 | 1.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 2.46 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.54 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 15, 2023 FA Trophy
Hamrun vs Ghajnsielem
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hamrun Compare
Top Goalscorer Mashike E.
2 Goals Assists Leader Dodo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77
Ghajnsielem Compare
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hamrun 95 / 100
Ghajnsielem 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hamrun Ghajnsielem
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Hamrun Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Hamrun scored in 80% of their last 30 games.
Ghajnsielem let in goals in 85% of their last 26 matches.
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Ghajnsielem lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Hamrun VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Hamrun
(Home) 18 Sept
Hamrun
4 : 1 Marsaxlokk
11 Sept
Birzebbuga
0 : 2 Hamrun
06 Sept
Zabbar
1 : 2 Hamrun
29 Aug
Hamrun
1 : 1 Floriana
22 Aug
Birkirkara
1 : 0 Hamrun
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Hamrun
4 : 1 Marsaxlokk
29 Aug
Hamrun
1 : 1 Floriana
17 Aug
Hamrun
0 : 2 Mosta FC
16 Jul
Hamrun
1 : 2 NSI Runavik
19 Apr
Hamrun
3 : 0 Naxxar Lions
Page 1 of 4
Ghajnsielem
(Away) 01 Mar
Victoria Wanderers
2 : 1 Ghajnsielem
03 Jan
Tarxien
4 : 0 Ghajnsielem
11 Jan
Sliema
8 : 0 Ghajnsielem
14 Jan
Valletta
7 : 1 Ghajnsielem
15 Jan
Hamrun
3 : 1 Ghajnsielem
Page 1 of 6
01 Mar
Victoria Wanderers
2 : 1 Ghajnsielem
03 Jan
Tarxien
4 : 0 Ghajnsielem
11 Jan
Sliema
8 : 0 Ghajnsielem
14 Jan
Valletta
7 : 1 Ghajnsielem
15 Jan
Hamrun
3 : 1 Ghajnsielem
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Balzan FC -
TBD -
Kalkara 0
Tarxien 2
Birkirkara -
TBD -
Nadur 7
Vittoriosa 1
Valletta -
TBD -
St. Andrews 0
Zabbar 4
Hamrun -
TBD -
Ghajnsielem 5
Qrendi 0
Marsa 2
Melita 3
TBD -
Mosta FC -
Swieqi 3
Fgura 0
TBD -
Zebbug -
Pieta -
TBD -
Xewkija 2
Lija 0
San Gwann -
TBD -
TBD -
Mgarr -
Hibernians -
TBD -
TBD -
Zurrieq -
Attard 3
Birzebbuga 2
Kercem Ajax 3
Marsaskala FC 2
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Lucia -
Zejtun -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsaxlokk -
Gzira -
TBD -
TBD -
Sliema -
Mtarfa -
TBD -
Sannat Lions 1
Qala Saints 3
Gudja -
TBD -
Naxxar Lions 5
Oratory 1
Sirens -
TBD -
Mqabba FC 3
Victoria Hotspurs 2
1/16-finals
Balzan FC 4
Tarxien 0
Birkirkara 4
Nadur 0
Valletta 5
Zabbar 1
Hamrun 3
Ghajnsielem 1
Melita 0
Mosta FC 3
Swieqi 1
Zebbug 0
Pieta 2
Xewkija 0
San Gwann 3
Mgarr 1
Hibernians 3
Zurrieq 1
Attard 2
Kercem Ajax 8
Floriana 0
Santa Lucia 1
Zejtun 0
Marsaxlokk 5
Gzira 2
Sliema 0
Mtarfa 1
Qala Saints 2
Gudja 2
Naxxar Lions 1
Sirens 1
Mqabba FC 0
1/8-finals
Balzan FC 2
Birkirkara 3
Valletta 1
Hamrun 2
Mosta FC 2
Swieqi 1
Pieta 0
San Gwann 2
Hibernians 8
Kercem Ajax 0
Santa Lucia 0
Marsaxlokk 2
Gzira 3
Qala Saints 0
Gudja 1
Sirens 0
Quarter-finals
Birkirkara 1
Hamrun 0
Mosta FC 5
San Gwann 0
Hibernians 0
Marsaxlokk 1
Gzira 2
Gudja 1
Semi-finals
Birkirkara 4
Mosta FC 3
Marsaxlokk 2
Gzira 1
Final
Birkirkara 2
Marsaxlokk 0
