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Hamrun vs Hibernians - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Malta Malta

Premier League Tony Bezzina Stadium, Paola
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Grech J.
44' Event
Romling M.
46'
Sub
Guillaumier M. In: Virano G.
Out: Guillaumier M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Hamrun
35%
Draws
40%
Hibernians
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Hibernians

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Hibernians haven't matched Hamrun's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Hamrun Clean Sheet 20%
Hibernians Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hamrun Hibernians
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 8 8
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.59 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2026 Premier League
Hamrun vs Hibernians
2:2
Feb 18, 2026 Premier League
Hibernians vs Hamrun
0:1
Feb 10, 2026 Super Cup
Hamrun vs Hibernians
1:2
Sep 27, 2025 Premier League
Hamrun vs Hibernians
2:0
May 14, 2025 FA Trophy
Hamrun vs Hibernians
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hamrun Compare

Top Goalscorer Grech J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Trotta M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Hibernians Compare

Top Goalscorer Romling M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Roe J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hamrun 32 / 100
Hibernians 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hamrun Hibernians

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Hamrun scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Hibernians let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Hamrun went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Hamrun VS Hibernians
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hamrun

(Home)
31 Oct
Sliema
1 : 1
Hamrun
25 Oct
Valletta
1 : 2
Hamrun
21 Oct
Hamrun
1 : 1
Balzan FC
18 Oct
Gzira
2 : 2
Hamrun
11 Oct
Hamrun
2 : 2
Hibernians
Page 1 of 6

Hibernians

(Away)
31 Oct
Balzan FC
1 : 2
Hibernians
26 Oct
Mosta FC
2 : 2
Hibernians
22 Oct
Hibernians
2 : 1
Gzira
18 Oct
Hibernians
1 : 0
Birzebbuga
11 Oct
Hamrun
2 : 2
Hibernians
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valletta 11 8 1 2 23:9 25
2 Marsaxlokk 11 6 2 3 21:14 20
3 Sliema 11 5 3 3 15:14 18
4 Hamrun 11 4 5 2 17:13 17
5 Floriana 11 4 4 3 22:15 16
6 Hibernians 11 4 4 3 13:15 16
7 Birkirkara 11 4 3 4 14:11 15
8 Zabbar 11 4 2 5 17:16 14
9 Mosta FC 11 3 5 3 15:20 14
10 Balzan FC 11 2 5 4 13:14 11
11 Birzebbuga 11 1 3 7 9:21 6
12 Gzira 11 0 5 6 9:26 5
Promotion - Premier League (First stage - Top 6)
Relegation - Premier League (First stage - Play Out)