Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Hamrun host Hibernians in the Premier League. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Hamrun have averaged 1.6 scored and 0.9 conceded recently, against Hibernians's 1.24 scored and 1.41 conceded. Head-to-head, Hamrun have won 3 to Hibernians's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 18, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.06) point toward Hamrun. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Hibernians haven't matched Hamrun's recent run of results.
- Model gives Hamrun a 47% chance of winning this.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hamrun | Hibernians |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.6 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Hamrun scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Hibernians let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Solid form: Hamrun remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Hamrun
(Home)Hibernians
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marsaxlokk | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:9 | 11 |
| 2 | Valletta | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 10 |
| 3 | Floriana | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12:7 | 10 |
| 4 | Birkirkara | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:4 | 10 |
| 5 | Hamrun | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:6 | 10 |
| 6 | Mosta FC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 10 |
| 7 | Sliema | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 9 |
| 8 | Balzan FC | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 8 |
| 9 | Hibernians | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 10 | Zabbar | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:9 | 5 |
| 11 | Gzira | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:13 | 1 |
| 12 | Birzebbuga | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1:11 | 0 |