Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hamrun vs Sliema

Malta Malta

Premier League 2025/2026 Tony Bezzina Stadium, Paola
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Mbong J.
28'
Bjelicic O.
46'
Sub
Prsa R. In: Agius E.
Out: Prsa R.

AI Match Summary

Hamrun in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hamrun.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Hamrun
39%
Draws
31%
Sliema
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Sliema haven't matched Hamrun's recent run of results.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 79.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Hamrun Clean Sheet 68%
Sliema Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hamrun Sliema
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 14 10
Draws 6 12
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.88 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.14
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.14

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Premier League
Hamrun vs Sliema
2:0
Jan 10, 2026 Premier League
Hamrun vs Sliema
1:0
Oct 5, 2025 Premier League
Sliema vs Hamrun
2:0
Apr 27, 2025 Premier League
Sliema vs Hamrun
1:1
Mar 13, 2025 Premier League
Hamrun vs Sliema
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hamrun Compare

Top Goalscorer Mbong J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ceter D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Sliema Compare

Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hamrun 41 / 100
Sliema 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hamrun Sliema

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hamrun scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

Defensive concern: Sliema conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Hamrun has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hamrun VS Sliema
1.88 Goals Scored 1.14
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.14
88% Over 1.5 71%
75% Over 2.5 43%
38% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Hamrun

(Home)
16 Jul
Hamrun
1 : 2
NSI Runavik
09 Jul
NSI Runavik
1 : 1
Hamrun
15 May
Valletta
0 : 2
Hamrun
09 May
Marsaxlokk
2 : 1
Hamrun
02 May
Valletta
2 : 1
Hamrun
Page 1 of 7

Sliema

(Away)
30 Apr
Tarxien
2 : 1
Sliema
26 Apr
Zabbar
1 : 1
Sliema
19 Apr
Mosta FC
2 : 2
Sliema
14 Apr
Sliema
1 : 0
Birkirkara
10 Apr
Sliema
1 : 1
Hibernians
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Floriana1174020:725
2Hamrun1164116:422
3Marsaxlokk1154212:1219
4Naxxar Lions1153320:1818
5Valletta1145216:717
6Gzira1152414:1217
7Sliema1144310:1116
8Birkirkara1134412:1213
9Hibernians1132611:1711
10Zabbar1124513:1510
11Tarxien111379:216
12Mosta FC111197:244
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Second stage - Top 6)
Relegation - Premier League 2025/2026 (Second stage - Play Out)