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Hamrun vs Victoria Hotspurs - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Malta Malta

FA Trophy Victor Tedesco Stadium, Hamrun
Hamrun Logo

Hamrun

5 - 0
FT
Victoria Hotspurs Logo

Victoria Hotspurs

Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Attard S.
61' Event
Mbong J.
63' Event
Camenzuli R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 5-0. This leg finished 5-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Hamrun
15%
Draws
40%
Victoria Hotspurs
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hamrun

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Victoria Hotspurs have won more games recently than Hamrun.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Hamrun taking it.
  • Victoria Hotspurs arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Hamrun, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Hamrun Clean Sheet 68%
Victoria Hotspurs Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hamrun Victoria Hotspurs
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 18
Draws 6 0
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.73 2.76
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.52
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 3, 2026 FA Trophy
Hamrun vs Victoria Hotspurs
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hamrun Compare

Top Goalscorer Attard S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mbong J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Victoria Hotspurs Compare

Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.84

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hamrun 95 / 100
Victoria Hotspurs 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hamrun Victoria Hotspurs

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hamrun Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hamrun's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Defensive concern: Victoria Hotspurs conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Hamrun stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hamrun VS Victoria Hotspurs
1.75 Goals Scored 1.67
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.33
88% Over 1.5 67%
75% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hamrun

(Home)
18 Sept
Hamrun
4 : 1
Marsaxlokk
11 Sept
Birzebbuga
0 : 2
Hamrun
06 Sept
Zabbar
1 : 2
Hamrun
29 Aug
Hamrun
1 : 1
Floriana
22 Aug
Birkirkara
1 : 0
Hamrun
Page 1 of 6

Victoria Hotspurs

(Away)
19 Sept
Zurrieq
1 : 2
Victoria Hotspurs
13 Sept
Victoria Hotspurs
3 : 0
St. Andrews
03 Jan
Hamrun
5 : 0
Victoria Hotspurs
07 Dec
Victoria Hotspurs
3 : 1
Xaghra
06 Feb
Victoria Hotspurs
1 : 4
Floriana
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Tarxien -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghajnsielem -
Pembroke -
TBD -
TBD -
Valletta -
Hamrun -
TBD -
Victoria Hotspurs 3
Xaghra 1
Fgura -
TBD -
Sirens 1
Santa Lucia 2
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
Victoria Wanderers -
Pieta -
TBD -
TBD -
Mtarfa -
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsaxlokk -
Zabbar -
TBD -
Melita 0
Xewkija 1
St. Andrews 3
Vittoriosa 0
TBD -
Gzira -
Hibernians -
TBD -
TBD -
Gudja -
Zebbug 0
Qala Saints 5
TBD -
Mgarr -
Mosta FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Mqabba FC -
Zurrieq -
TBD -
TBD -
Kercem Ajax -
Qormi 1
Balzan FC 4
Nadur 1
Birzebbuga 4
Sliema -
TBD -
TBD -
Swieqi -
Marsa -
TBD -
TBD -
Naxxar Lions -
1/16-finals
Tarxien 4
Ghajnsielem 0
Pembroke 0
Valletta 1
Hamrun 5
Victoria Hotspurs 0
Fgura 2
Santa Lucia 1
Birkirkara 3
Victoria Wanderers 1
Pieta 5
Mtarfa 0
Floriana 1
Marsaxlokk 0
Zabbar 1
Xewkija 0
St. Andrews 0
Gzira 2
Hibernians 3
Gudja 1
Qala Saints 0
Mgarr 2
Mosta FC 2
Mqabba FC 1
Zurrieq 4
Kercem Ajax 0
Balzan FC 1
Birzebbuga 2
Sliema 1
Swieqi 2
Marsa 0
Naxxar Lions 3
1/8-finals
Tarxien 0
Valletta 1
Hamrun 5
Fgura 0
Birkirkara 2
Pieta 0
Floriana 0
Zabbar 1
Gzira 3
Hibernians 2
Mgarr 0
Mosta FC 3
Zurrieq 3
Birzebbuga 0
Swieqi 2
Naxxar Lions 4
Quarter-finals
Valletta 3
Hamrun 1
Birkirkara 2
Zabbar 1
Gzira 2
Mosta FC 1
Zurrieq 1
Naxxar Lions 2
Semi-finals
Valletta 3
Birkirkara 1
Gzira 2
Naxxar Lions 1
Final
Valletta 2
Gzira 1