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Stadium Background

Hanau vs Fernwald - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hessen 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Oberliga Hessen 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Hanau
35%
Draws
37%
Fernwald
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Fernwald

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fernwald lately — more wins on the board than Hanau.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Fernwald taking it.
  • Regular Oberliga Hessen 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Hanau Clean Sheet 10%
Fernwald Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hanau Fernwald
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 3 8
Draws 6 13
Losses 20 9
Goals Scored 1.1 1.53
Goals Conceded 2.79 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Oberliga Hessen
Hanau vs Fernwald
1:1
Sep 6, 2025 Oberliga Hessen
Fernwald vs Hanau
2:0
May 17, 2025 Oberliga Hessen
Hanau vs Fernwald
0:2
Oct 26, 2024 Oberliga Hessen
Fernwald vs Hanau
1:1
Jun 1, 2024 Oberliga Hessen
Hanau vs Fernwald
3:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hanau 10 / 100
Fernwald 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hanau Fernwald

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fernwald Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Hanau found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Fernwald conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Hanau stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hanau VS Fernwald
1 Goals Scored 0.88
3 Goals Conceded 1.88
67% Over 1.5 100%
67% Over 2.5 25%
67% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hanau

(Home)
30 May
Hanau
3 : 2
Giessen
23 May
RW Walldorf
7 : 0
Hanau
16 May
Hanau
1 : 5
Darmstadt U21
09 May
Turk Gucu Friedberg
3 : 0
Hanau
01 May
Hanau
0 : 4
Eintracht Frankfurt II
Page 1 of 6

Fernwald

(Away)
03 Oct
Fernwald
2 : 2
RW Walldorf
26 Sept
Hummetroth
2 : 2
Fernwald
19 Sept
Fernwald
0 : 0
Eddersheim
12 Sept
Giessen
4 : 3
Fernwald
09 Sept
Pohlheim
1 : 1
Fernwald
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eintracht Frankfurt II 34 29 3 2 100:34 90
2 Eddersheim 34 19 7 8 75:50 64
3 Stadtallendorf 34 16 11 7 57:40 59
4 Giessen 34 18 4 12 74:57 57
5 Baunatal 34 16 8 10 65:51 55
6 Pohlheim 34 15 9 10 74:62 54
7 Turk Gucu Friedberg 34 14 7 13 57:59 49
8 Hunfelder 34 15 3 16 68:64 48
9 Hanauer SC 34 14 5 15 49:66 47
10 RW Walldorf 34 13 8 13 90:76 47
11 Darmstadt U21 34 13 6 15 75:69 45
12 VfB Marburg 34 13 6 15 47:58 45
13 Fernwald 34 11 9 14 59:54 42
14 Hummetroth 34 13 5 16 64:64 41
15 CSC 03 Kassel 34 10 9 15 63:82 39
16 Waldgirmes 34 9 6 19 47:69 33
17 Weidenhausen 34 5 7 22 44:92 22
18 Hanau 34 3 7 24 32:93 15
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Hessen 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Oberliga Hessen 2025/2026 (Relegation)