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Hang Sai vs Lun Lok - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Macao Macao

Elite League 2024
Hang Sai Logo

Hang Sai

3 - 1
FT
Lun Lok Logo

Lun Lok

Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
(Penalty)
56' Event
77' Event
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Hang Sai in this Elite League 2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hang Sai.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Hang Sai
15%
Draws
0%
Lun Lok
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hang Sai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hang Sai lately — more wins on the board than Lun Lok.
  • Model gives Hang Sai a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).
  • Hang Sai have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Hang Sai Clean Sheet 14%
Lun Lok Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hang Sai Lun Lok
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 4
Draws 6 2
Losses 14 24
Goals Scored 2.84 1.1
Goals Conceded 2.22 5.23
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2025 Elite League
Hang Sai vs Lun Lok
12:0
Jun 12, 2025 Elite League
Lun Lok vs Hang Sai
0:7
May 10, 2025 Elite League
Hang Sai vs Lun Lok
7:2
Jul 18, 2024 Elite League
Hang Sai vs Lun Lok
3:1
Jun 2, 2024 Elite League
Lun Lok vs Hang Sai
1:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hang Sai 84 / 100
Lun Lok 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hang Sai Lun Lok

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hang Sai Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Lun Lok conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 7.60 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Lun Lok has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Hang Sai scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

Hang Sai VS Lun Lok
2 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hang Sai

(Home)
25 Jul
Benfica
4 : 5
Hang Sai
18 Jul
Artilheiros
4 : 4
Hang Sai
12 Jul
G. Universe
3 : 2
Hang Sai
05 Jul
University of Macau
1 : 7
Hang Sai
26 Jun
Hang Sai
2 : 5
Shao Jiang
Page 1 of 7

Lun Lok

(Away)
27 Jul
Chiba
3 : 0
Lun Lok
19 Jul
Hang Sai
12 : 0
Lun Lok
12 Jul
Lun Lok
1 : 2
Sporting Macau
06 Jul
Lun Lok
0 : 10
Gala
21 Jun
Lun Lok
1 : 9
Chiba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benfica 17 15 1 1 74:15 46
2 Must IPO 17 13 3 1 84:11 42
3 Cheng Fung 17 9 4 4 38:20 31
4 Hang Sai 17 6 1 10 33:57 19
5 Lun Lok 17 4 2 11 26:78 14
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