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Hang Sai vs Policia Prediction & H2H Stats

Macao Macao

Elite League 2021 Centro Desportivo Olímpico - Estádio, Taipa
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Match Events

16' Event
Duan X.
74' Event
Wong W.
78' Event
Choi K.

AI Match Summary

The Elite League 2021 game between Hang Sai and Policia finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Policia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Hang Sai
20%
Draws
40%
Policia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Policia haven't matched Hang Sai's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Hang Sai's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Hang Sai Clean Sheet 14%
Policia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hang Sai Policia
Matches Played 32 25
Wins 10 7
Draws 7 5
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 2.69 1.04
Goals Conceded 2.31 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2021 Elite League
Policia vs Hang Sai
2:2
May 23, 2021 Elite League
Hang Sai vs Policia
1:3
Sep 19, 2020 Elite League
Hang Sai vs Policia
2:1
May 9, 2019 Elite League
Policia vs Hang Sai
1:3
Feb 22, 2019 Elite League
Hang Sai vs Policia
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hang Sai Compare

Top Goalscorer Duan X.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Policia Compare

Top Goalscorer Wong W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Choi K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hang Sai 48 / 100
Policia 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hang Sai Policia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hang Sai Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Hang Sai scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Policia let in goals in 76% of their last 25 matches.

Recent resilience: Hang Sai stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hang Sai VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hang Sai

(Home)
25 Jul
Benfica
4 : 5
Hang Sai
18 Jul
Artilheiros
4 : 4
Hang Sai
12 Jul
G. Universe
3 : 2
Hang Sai
05 Jul
University of Macau
1 : 7
Hang Sai
26 Jun
Hang Sai
2 : 5
Shao Jiang
Page 1 of 7

Policia

(Away)
13 Nov
Policia
0 : 3
Lun Lok
31 Jul
Policia
2 : 2
Hang Sai
24 Jul
Policia
1 : 0
Cheng Fung
17 Jul
Monte Carlo
0 : 2
Policia
11 Jul
Policia
0 : 3
Benfica
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Must IPO 18 18 0 0 115:4 54
2 Benfica 18 15 0 3 91:15 45
3 Tak Chun Ka I 18 11 2 5 29:30 35
4 Cheng Fung 18 10 0 8 40:44 30
5 Lun Lok 18 6 3 9 26:55 21
6 Sporting Macau 18 6 2 10 33:45 20
7 Policia 18 4 5 9 17:33 17
8 Casa de Portugal 18 4 4 10 22:68 16
9 Monte Carlo 18 2 6 10 14:46 12
10 Hang Sai 18 2 2 14 12:59 8
Promotion - AFC Cup 2022 (Qualification)