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Haninge vs Aspudden Tellus

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Svealand 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Södra Svealand 2019 game between Haninge and Aspudden Tellus finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Haninge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Haninge
15%
Draws
48%
Aspudden Tellus
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aspudden Tellus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Haninge come out ahead of Aspudden Tellus on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Haninge here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Haninge Clean Sheet 15%
Aspudden Tellus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Haninge Aspudden Tellus
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 19 9
Draws 3 5
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 2.14 1.33
Goals Conceded 2.06 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2019 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Haninge vs Aspudden Tellus
5:1
Apr 21, 2019 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Aspudden Tellus vs Haninge
1:2
Oct 6, 2018 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Haninge vs Aspudden Tellus
1:0
Jun 27, 2018 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Aspudden Tellus vs Haninge
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Haninge 31 / 100
Aspudden Tellus 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Haninge Aspudden Tellus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Aspudden Tellus conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Haninge scored in 74% of their last 35 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Haninge has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Haninge VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Haninge

(Home)
15 Aug
Karlslund
3 : 0
Haninge
08 Aug
Haninge
2 : 2
Farsta
02 Aug
Fittja IF
0 : 2
Haninge
25 Jul
FC Arlanda
6 : 1
Haninge
27 Jun
Haninge
6 : 1
Sleipner
Page 1 of 7

Aspudden Tellus

(Away)
12 Oct
Motala
3 : 0
Aspudden Tellus
05 Oct
Aspudden Tellus
2 : 0
Assyriska FF
28 Sept
FC Stockholm Internazionale
1 : 2
Aspudden Tellus
22 Sept
Varmbols
1 : 2
Aspudden Tellus
13 Sept
Aspudden Tellus
1 : 2
Newroz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haninge 26 15 7 4 64:30 52
2 Motala 26 13 9 4 45:24 48
3 Assyriska FF 26 14 6 6 55:35 48
4 Enskede 26 14 4 8 50:44 46
5 FC Stockholm Internazionale 26 10 8 8 52:30 38
6 Huddinge 26 10 6 10 57:51 36
7 Assyriska IF 26 10 6 10 46:49 36
8 Varmbols 26 11 3 12 46:50 36
9 Newroz 26 10 5 11 58:52 35
10 Tyreso 26 9 7 10 34:42 34
11 Arameisk-Syrianska 26 8 9 9 46:40 33
12 Aspudden Tellus 26 9 3 14 38:49 30
13 AFK Linkopings 26 8 2 16 50:69 26
14 Sodertalje FK 26 1 5 20 35:111 8
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2019 (Promotion Group)