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Haninge vs Nacka FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Svealand Torvalla idrottsplats, Haninge
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Haninge host Nacka FC in the Division 2 - Södra Svealand. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Haninge have averaged 2.29 scored and 2.29 conceded recently, against Nacka FC's 1.27 scored and 2.03 conceded. Head-to-head, Haninge have won 4 to Nacka FC's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Jun 6, 2026, ending 1:5. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 2.13, favoring Haninge. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Haninge
20%
Draws
40%
Nacka FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Haninge lately — more wins on the board than Nacka FC.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Division 2 - Södra Svealand form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Haninge have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Haninge Clean Sheet 10%
Nacka FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Haninge Nacka FC
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 4 3
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 2.29 1.27
Goals Conceded 2.29 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Nacka FC vs Haninge
1:5
Oct 20, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Haninge vs Nacka FC
4:1
Jun 14, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Nacka FC vs Haninge
1:4
Jul 30, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Nacka FC vs Haninge
1:2
Apr 9, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Haninge vs Nacka FC
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Haninge 30 / 100
Nacka FC 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Haninge Nacka FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nacka FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nacka FC has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Haninge scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Haninge went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Haninge VS Nacka FC
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
2.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Haninge

(Home)
04 Oct
Orebro Syrianska
2 : 2
Haninge
27 Sept
Haninge
2 : 1
Smedby
20 Sept
Eker Orebro
4 : 5
Haninge
14 Sept
Haninge
0 : 2
Syrianska
10 Sept
Haninge
1 : 7
Djurgarden
Page 1 of 6

Nacka FC

(Away)
04 Oct
Nacka FC
1 : 4
Karlslund
26 Sept
Fittja IF
1 : 2
Nacka FC
19 Sept
Nacka FC
1 : 0
Ragsved
12 Sept
Sleipner
1 : 0
Nacka FC
05 Sept
Nacka FC
1 : 1
Smedby
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Farsta 24 14 4 6 49:26 46
2 Sleipner 24 13 6 5 49:36 45
3 Forward 24 13 5 6 45:29 44
4 Nykopings 24 13 4 7 39:23 43
5 Haninge 24 13 4 7 58:45 43
6 Ragsved 24 11 6 7 45:37 39
7 Smedby 24 10 6 8 41:33 36
8 Fittja IF 24 10 3 11 37:38 33
9 Karlslund 24 8 7 9 37:38 31
10 Orebro Syrianska 24 8 4 12 27:29 28
11 Syrianska 24 7 5 12 38:52 26
12 Nacka FC 24 7 3 14 26:45 24
13 Lindo FF 24 6 2 16 32:50 20
14 Eker Orebro 24 4 3 17 29:71 15
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Svealand (Relegation)