Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hanoi FC vs Ho Chi Minh

Vietnam Vietnam

V.League 1 2025/2026 Hang Day Stadium, Hanoi
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Sub
Dinh Thanh Binh In: Nguyen Tien Linh
Out: Dinh Thanh Binh
13' Event
Fisher D.
46'
Sub
Raphael Utzig In: Endrick
Out: Raphael Utzig

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this V.League 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Hanoi FC
15%
Draws
64%
Ho Chi Minh
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ho Chi Minh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ho Chi Minh lately — more wins on the board than Hanoi FC.
  • Model gives Hanoi FC a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular V.League 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Hanoi FC Clean Sheet 12%
Ho Chi Minh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hanoi FC Ho Chi Minh
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 14 15
Draws 4 5
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.7 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 V.League 1
Ho Chi Minh vs Hanoi FC
3:1
Jun 7, 2026 V.League 1
Hanoi FC vs Ho Chi Minh
1:1
Aug 16, 2025 V.League 1
Ho Chi Minh vs Hanoi FC
2:1
May 18, 2025 V.League 1
Hanoi FC vs Ho Chi Minh
5:1
Sep 29, 2024 V.League 1
Ho Chi Minh vs Hanoi FC
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hanoi FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Fisher D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Ho Chi Minh Compare

Top Goalscorer Nguyen Tien Linh
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hanoi FC 35 / 100
Ho Chi Minh 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hanoi FC Ho Chi Minh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hanoi FC's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Ho Chi Minh's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 33 matches.

Away concern: Ho Chi Minh has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hanoi FC VS Ho Chi Minh
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hanoi FC

(Home)
20 Sept
Hanoi FC
1 : 2
Da Nang
12 Sept
Hanoi FC
1 : 4
Song Lam Nghe An
05 Sept
Ho Chi Minh
3 : 1
Hanoi FC
07 Jun
Hanoi FC
1 : 1
Ho Chi Minh
31 May
Gia Lai
3 : 1
Hanoi FC
Page 1 of 6

Ho Chi Minh

(Away)
11 Sept
Bac Ninh
1 : 0
Ho Chi Minh
05 Sept
Ho Chi Minh
3 : 1
Hanoi FC
30 Aug
Cong An Ha Noi
5 : 0
Ho Chi Minh
23 Aug
Binh Duong
2 : 1
Ho Chi Minh
16 Aug
Ho Chi Minh
0 : 2
Long An
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cong An Ha Noi 26 20 4 2 58:22 64
2 Viettel 26 15 9 2 39:21 54
3 Phu Dong Ninh Binh 26 15 6 5 53:31 51
4 Hanoi FC 26 14 4 8 48:30 46
5 Ho Chi Minh 26 10 6 10 28:36 36
6 Nam Dinh 26 9 8 9 33:32 35
7 Hai Phong 26 9 5 12 37:36 32
8 Hong Linh Ha Tinh 26 7 8 11 15:29 29
9 Song Lam Nghe An 26 7 6 13 27:40 27
10 Gia Lai 26 6 8 12 24:37 26
11 Thanh Hoa 26 5 10 11 26:38 25
12 Da Nang 26 5 9 12 33:39 24
13 PVF-CAND 26 5 9 12 26:44 24
14 Binh Duong 26 6 6 14 31:43 24
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - V.League 1 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - V.League 2 (Main)