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Hantharwady United vs Ayeyawady

Myanmar Myanmar

National League
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Tun S. L.
45' Event
Tun S. L.
Penalty Missed
54' Event
Tun S. L.

AI Match Summary

The National League game between Hantharwady United and Ayeyawady finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ayeyawady.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Hantharwady United
6%
Draws
90%
Ayeyawady
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ayeyawady

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Recent numbers put Hantharwady United and Ayeyawady close enough that form isn't the deciding factor here.
  • Model gives Ayeyawady a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Hantharwady United Clean Sheet 19%
Ayeyawady Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hantharwady United Ayeyawady
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 10 6
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 0.88 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 National League
Hantharwady United vs Ayeyawady
1:3
Oct 19, 2025 National League
Ayeyawady vs Hantharwady United
1:1
Feb 8, 2025 National League
Hantharwady United vs Ayeyawady
0:2
Aug 10, 2024 National League
Ayeyawady vs Hantharwady United
0:1
May 15, 2024 MNL League Cup
Ayeyawady vs Hantharwady United
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hantharwady United Compare

Top Goalscorer Aung Than Toe
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Ayeyawady Compare

Top Goalscorer Tun S. L.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hantharwady United 10 / 100
Ayeyawady 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hantharwady United Ayeyawady

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AYE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ayeyawady conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Hantharwady United's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Hantharwady United has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hantharwady United VS Ayeyawady
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Shan United22184066:1058
2Yangon United22183170:757
3Dagon22116539:3039
4Ispe2294935:4631
5Hantharwady United2277832:3428
6Mahar United2277839:4428
7Yadanarbon22751038:3826
8Ayeyawady22751025:2626
9Thitsar Arman2259836:3824
10Dagon Port22571044:6222
11Rakhine United22541328:5419
12Yarmanya United22131817:806