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Hantharwady United vs Ayeyawady

Myanmar Myanmar

National League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Tun S. L.
45' Event
Tun S. L.
Penalty Missed
54' Event
Tun S. L.

AI Match Summary

The National League 2025/2026 game between Hantharwady United and Ayeyawady finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ayeyawady.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Hantharwady United
20%
Draws
60%
Ayeyawady
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ayeyawady

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ayeyawady come out ahead of Hantharwady United on wins alone.
  • Model gives Ayeyawady a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Hantharwady United Clean Sheet 20%
Ayeyawady Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hantharwady United Ayeyawady
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 11
Draws 10 6
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.43 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 National League
Hantharwady United vs Ayeyawady
1:3
Oct 19, 2025 National League
Ayeyawady vs Hantharwady United
1:1
Feb 8, 2025 National League
Hantharwady United vs Ayeyawady
0:2
Aug 10, 2024 National League
Ayeyawady vs Hantharwady United
0:1
May 15, 2024 MNL League Cup
Ayeyawady vs Hantharwady United
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hantharwady United Compare

Top Goalscorer Aung Than Toe
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Ayeyawady Compare

Top Goalscorer Tun S. L.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hantharwady United 20 / 100
Ayeyawady 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hantharwady United Ayeyawady

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ayeyawady Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ayeyawady conceded in 63% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Ayeyawady's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Hantharwady United scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hantharwady United VS Ayeyawady
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hantharwady United

(Home)
05 Sept
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Hantharwady United
29 Aug
Dagon
2 : 0
Hantharwady United
18 Mar
Shan United
1 : 0
Hantharwady United
11 Mar
Hantharwady United
0 : 0
Rakhine United
04 Mar
Hantharwady United
0 : 4
Yangon United
Page 1 of 6

Ayeyawady

(Away)
06 Sept
Ayeyawady
0 : 5
Dagon
29 Aug
Ayeyawady
2 : 1
Ispe
17 Mar
Mahar United
2 : 1
Ayeyawady
13 Mar
Ayeyawady
5 : 0
Yarmanya United
05 Mar
Yadanarbon
2 : 1
Ayeyawady
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shan United 22 18 4 0 66:10 58
2 Yangon United 22 18 3 1 70:7 57
3 Dagon 22 11 6 5 39:30 39
4 Ispe 22 9 4 9 35:46 31
5 Hantharwady United 22 7 7 8 32:34 28
6 Mahar United 22 7 7 8 39:44 28
7 Yadanarbon 22 7 5 10 38:38 26
8 Ayeyawady 22 7 5 10 25:26 26
9 Thitsar Arman 22 5 9 8 36:38 24
10 Dagon Port 22 5 7 10 44:62 22
11 Rakhine United 22 5 4 13 28:54 19
12 Yarmanya United 22 1 3 18 17:80 6
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