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HAPK vs JPS Jyvaskyla

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Group A 2025 Haminan urheilukentta
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

HAPK play JPS Jyvaskyla in the Kakkonen Group A 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, HAPK averaged 0.97 goals scored and 3.67 conceded. JPS Jyvaskyla averaged 1.4 goals scored and 4.13 conceded. In past meetings, HAPK won 1, JPS Jyvaskyla won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 4, 2025 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.81 for HAPK and 2.69 for JPS Jyvaskyla. This points to a JPS Jyvaskyla double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
HAPK
15%
Draws
50%
JPS Jyvaskyla
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: JPS Jyvaskyla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • HAPK picked up more points recently compared to JPS Jyvaskyla.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.81 vs 2.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 53%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
HAPK Clean Sheet 10%
JPS Jyvaskyla Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 90%
Second Half Goal 95%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HAPK JPS Jyvaskyla
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 6
Draws 3 3
Losses 22 21
Goals Scored 0.97 1.4
Goals Conceded 3.67 4.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.25 5.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2025 Kakkonen Group A
HAPK vs JPS Jyvaskyla
3:2
Sep 6, 2025 Kakkonen Group A
JPS Jyvaskyla vs HAPK
3:1
Jul 12, 2025 Kakkonen Group A
HAPK vs JPS Jyvaskyla
2:2
May 10, 2025 Kakkonen Group A
JPS Jyvaskyla vs HAPK
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

HAPK Compare

Top Goalscorer Silvo E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

JPS Jyvaskyla Compare

Top Goalscorer Pyyny V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HAPK 34 / 100
JPS Jyvaskyla 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HAPK JPS Jyvaskyla

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: JPS Jyvaskyla or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +6.8%
1.20
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

HAPK attacking → ← attacking JPS Jyvaskyla

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

HAPK scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

JPS Jyvaskyla let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.75 goals.

HAPK went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

JPS Jyvaskyla lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

18 Points in last 5 21
0.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
4.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 5.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Honka18161179:1349
2VJS18133254:1842
3PuiU Helsinki18101732:2631
4PEPO1892731:2929
5MyPa1883747:3927
6GrIFK1874737:3625
7Lahden Reipas1872941:4323
8Vaajakoski18711037:4122
9HAPK18131413:676
10JPS Jyvaskyla18121518:775