Sport Picks

Stadium Background

HAPK vs JPS Jyvaskyla

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Group A 2025 Haminan urheilukentta, Hamina
HAPK Logo

HAPK

2 - 2
FT
JPS Jyvaskyla Logo

JPS Jyvaskyla

Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Silvo E.
45' Event
Own Goal
48'
Laitinen J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Kakkonen Group A 2025 game between HAPK and JPS Jyvaskyla finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
HAPK
15%
Draws
49%
JPS Jyvaskyla
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: JPS Jyvaskyla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • JPS Jyvaskyla carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Kakkonen Group A 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 97%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 97%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
HAPK Clean Sheet 10%
JPS Jyvaskyla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HAPK JPS Jyvaskyla
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 6
Draws 3 3
Losses 22 21
Goals Scored 0.97 1.4
Goals Conceded 3.67 4.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.81 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2025 Kakkonen Group A
HAPK vs JPS Jyvaskyla
3:2
Sep 6, 2025 Kakkonen Group A
JPS Jyvaskyla vs HAPK
3:1
Jul 12, 2025 Kakkonen Group A
HAPK vs JPS Jyvaskyla
2:2
May 10, 2025 Kakkonen Group A
JPS Jyvaskyla vs HAPK
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

HAPK Compare

Top Goalscorer Silvo E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.41

JPS Jyvaskyla Compare

Top Goalscorer Pyyny V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HAPK 34 / 100
JPS Jyvaskyla 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HAPK JPS Jyvaskyla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JPS Jyvaskyla Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

JPS Jyvaskyla's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.75 goals when they meet.

HAPK scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Difficult form: JPS Jyvaskyla registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

HAPK VS JPS Jyvaskyla
0.38 Goals Scored 1.13
4.25 Goals Conceded 5.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

HAPK

(Home)
14 Apr
HAPK
1 : 6
SJK
04 Oct
HAPK
3 : 2
JPS Jyvaskyla
27 Sept
Vaajakoski
4 : 2
HAPK
21 Sept
Lahden Reipas
6 : 0
HAPK
13 Sept
HAPK
0 : 3
Vaajakoski
Page 1 of 6

JPS Jyvaskyla

(Away)
28 Apr
JPS Jyvaskyla
3 : 5
Mikkelin
10 Apr
JIPPO II
0 : 2
JPS Jyvaskyla
04 Oct
HAPK
3 : 2
JPS Jyvaskyla
28 Sept
JPS Jyvaskyla
1 : 9
Lahden Reipas
18 Sept
JPS Jyvaskyla
2 : 2
Vaajakoski
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Honka 18 16 1 1 79:13 49
2 VJS 18 13 3 2 54:18 42
3 PuiU Helsinki 18 10 1 7 32:26 31
4 PEPO 18 9 2 7 31:29 29
5 MyPa 18 8 3 7 47:39 27
6 GrIFK 18 7 4 7 37:36 25
7 Lahden Reipas 18 7 2 9 41:43 23
8 Vaajakoski 18 7 1 10 37:41 22
9 HAPK 18 1 3 14 13:67 6
10 JPS Jyvaskyla 18 1 2 15 18:77 5
Promotion - Kakkonen Group A 2025 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Kakkonen Group A 2025 (Losers stage)