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HAPK vs Vaajakoski

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Group A 2025 Haminan urheilukentta
Our Tip

Match Events

41'
Lassila J.
42'
Kurkisuo S.
46'
Sub
Jarvinen V. In: Laakso L.
Out: Jarvinen V.

AI Match Summary

Vaajakoski in this Kakkonen Group A 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vaajakoski.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
HAPK
6%
Draws
90%
Vaajakoski
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Vaajakoski

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • HAPK haven't matched Vaajakoski's recent run of results.
  • Vaajakoski are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Kakkonen Group A 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
  • History favors Vaajakoski here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
HAPK Clean Sheet 10%
Vaajakoski Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HAPK Vaajakoski
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 12
Draws 3 3
Losses 22 15
Goals Scored 1.5 1.75
Goals Conceded 4.5 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.50 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2025 Kakkonen Group A
Vaajakoski vs HAPK
4:2
Sep 13, 2025 Kakkonen Group A
HAPK vs Vaajakoski
0:3
Jul 26, 2025 Kakkonen Group A
HAPK vs Vaajakoski
1:4
May 24, 2025 Kakkonen Group A
Vaajakoski vs HAPK
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

HAPK Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Vaajakoski Compare

Top Goalscorer Yahagi S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Liimatainen M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HAPK 10 / 100
Vaajakoski 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HAPK Vaajakoski

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FCV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vaajakoski's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: HAPK scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: HAPK remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

HAPK VS Vaajakoski
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
4.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 50%