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Hapoel Afula vs H. Ironi Rishon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Leumit League 2025/2026
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Match Events

38' Event
Jan D.
(Penalty)
44'
Cohen B. E.
44' Event
Bohadana D.

AI Match Summary

The Leumit League 2025/2026 game between Hapoel Afula and H. Ironi Rishon finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward H. Ironi Rishon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Hapoel Afula
35%
Draws
40%
H. Ironi Rishon
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: H. Ironi Rishon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • H. Ironi Rishon haven't matched Hapoel Afula's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Hapoel Afula's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Hapoel Afula Clean Sheet 15%
H. Ironi Rishon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Afula H. Ironi Rishon
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 9 8
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.45 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2026 Leumit League
Hapoel Afula vs H. Ironi Rishon
2:2
Jan 2, 2026 Leumit League
H. Ironi Rishon vs Hapoel Afula
1:1
Sep 1, 2025 Leumit League
Hapoel Afula vs H. Ironi Rishon
0:3
Feb 4, 2025 Leumit League
Hapoel Afula vs H. Ironi Rishon
0:1
Oct 6, 2024 Leumit League
H. Ironi Rishon vs Hapoel Afula
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hapoel Afula Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

H. Ironi Rishon Compare

Top Goalscorer Bohadana D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Berkovich A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Afula 35 / 100
H. Ironi Rishon 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Afula H. Ironi Rishon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H. Ironi Rishon let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Hapoel Afula found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Hapoel Afula stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Afula VS H. Ironi Rishon
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Afula

(Home)
01 Oct
Hapoel Afula
2 : 2
H. Ironi Rishon
24 Sept
Hapoel Akko
0 : 3
Hapoel Afula
17 Sept
Hapoel Afula
3 : 3
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
10 Sept
Maccabi Bnei Raina
4 : 2
Hapoel Afula
06 Sept
Hapoel Afula
0 : 1
Maccabi Jaffa
Page 1 of 6

H. Ironi Rishon

(Away)
01 Oct
Hapoel Afula
2 : 2
H. Ironi Rishon
24 Sept
H. Ironi Rishon
1 : 0
M. Nazareth
17 Sept
SC Ashdod
3 : 2
H. Ironi Rishon
10 Sept
H. Ironi Rishon
4 : 2
Kiryat Yam
07 Sept
Yehuda
0 : 0
H. Ironi Rishon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maccabi Petah Tikva 30 17 9 4 67:32 60
2 M. Herzliya 30 14 8 8 45:35 50
3 Hapoel Ramat Gan 30 14 7 9 48:36 49
4 H. Ironi Rishon 30 13 9 8 43:33 48
5 Hapoel Kfar Shalem 30 13 8 9 51:47 47
6 Yehuda 30 12 8 10 34:37 44
7 Kiryat Yam 30 13 7 10 43:37 42
8 Hapoel Kfar Saba 30 11 8 11 38:39 41
9 H. Raanana 30 10 8 12 29:36 38
10 Maccabi Jaffa 30 10 7 13 50:50 37
11 Hapoel Afula 30 9 9 12 32:48 36
12 MS Kafr Qasim 30 8 10 12 34:39 34
13 Nof Hagalil 30 6 14 10 37:45 32
14 Ironi Modiin 30 8 8 14 30:41 32
15 Hapoel Akko 30 6 13 11 32:42 31
16 Hapoel Hadera 30 4 11 15 32:48 23
Promotion - Leumit League 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Leumit League 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)