Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hapoel Afula vs Hapoel Kfar Saba

Israel Israel

Leumit League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Mizrahi Y.
90' Event
Julio Cesar

AI Match Summary

The Leumit League 2025/2026 game between Hapoel Afula and Hapoel Kfar Saba finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Hapoel Afula
17%
Draws
13%
Hapoel Kfar Saba
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Hapoel Afula

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Hapoel Afula carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Hapoel Afula a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Hapoel Afula Clean Sheet 68%
Hapoel Kfar Saba Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Afula Hapoel Kfar Saba
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 9 9
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2026 Leumit League
Hapoel Kfar Saba vs Hapoel Afula
3:3
Sep 14, 2025 Leumit League
Hapoel Afula vs Hapoel Kfar Saba
1:1
Jan 13, 2025 Leumit League
Hapoel Kfar Saba vs Hapoel Afula
2:0
Sep 5, 2024 Leumit League
Hapoel Afula vs Hapoel Kfar Saba
1:1
May 10, 2024 Leumit League
Hapoel Kfar Saba vs Hapoel Afula
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hapoel Afula Compare

Top Goalscorer Mizrahi Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Hapoel Kfar Saba Compare

Top Goalscorer Julio Cesar
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Afula 77 / 100
Hapoel Kfar Saba 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Afula Hapoel Kfar Saba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hapoel Afula scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Hapoel Kfar Saba has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Hapoel Afula has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Afula VS Hapoel Kfar Saba
1 Goals Scored 2.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Afula

(Home)
18 Jul
Hapoel Afula
3 : 2
Dobrudzha
25 May
Hapoel Afula
2 : 0
MS Kafr Qasim
19 May
Maccabi Jaffa
4 : 1
Hapoel Afula
15 May
Hapoel Afula
2 : 1
Nof Hagalil
08 May
Hapoel Hadera
1 : 1
Hapoel Afula
Page 1 of 6

Hapoel Kfar Saba

(Away)
17 Jul
Hapoel Kfar Saba
2 : 2
Maccabi Jaffa
25 May
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1 : 1
Hapoel Ramat Gan
20 May
M. Herzliya
1 : 1
Hapoel Kfar Saba
15 May
Hapoel Kfar Saba
2 : 2
Maccabi Petah Tikva
11 May
Kiryat Yam
2 : 0
Hapoel Kfar Saba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Maccabi Petah Tikva30179467:3260
2M. Herzliya30148845:3550
3Hapoel Ramat Gan30147948:3649
4H. Ironi Rishon30139843:3348
5Hapoel Kfar Shalem30138951:4747
6Yehuda301281034:3744
7Kiryat Yam301371043:3742
8Hapoel Kfar Saba301181138:3941
9H. Raanana301081229:3638
10Maccabi Jaffa301071350:5037
11Hapoel Afula30991232:4836
12MS Kafr Qasim308101234:3934
13Nof Hagalil306141037:4532
14Ironi Modiin30881430:4132
15Hapoel Akko306131132:4231
16Hapoel Hadera304111532:4823
Promotion - Leumit League 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Leumit League 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)