Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hapoel Afula vs Kiryat Gat - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Leumit League
Fri, Oct 30, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hapoel Afula host Kiryat Gat in the Leumit League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Hapoel Afula have averaged 1.32 scored and 1.36 conceded recently, against Kiryat Gat's 1.75 scored and 1.2 conceded. Head-to-head, Hapoel Afula have won 4 to Kiryat Gat's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on May 13, 2016, ending 3:1. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.25) point toward Hapoel Afula. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Hapoel Afula
35%
Draws
23%
Kiryat Gat
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Hapoel Afula

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Hapoel Afula have won more games recently than Kiryat Gat.
  • Model gives Hapoel Afula a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Leumit League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Hapoel Afula have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Hapoel Afula Clean Sheet 19%
Kiryat Gat Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Afula Kiryat Gat
Matches Played 28 20
Wins 12 10
Draws 8 5
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 1.32 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2016 Leumit League
Hapoel Afula vs Kiryat Gat
3:1
Mar 7, 2016 Leumit League
Hapoel Afula vs Kiryat Gat
5:2
Nov 20, 2015 Leumit League
Kiryat Gat vs Hapoel Afula
0:1
May 25, 2015 Leumit League
Hapoel Afula vs Kiryat Gat
4:1
Mar 16, 2015 Leumit League
Hapoel Afula vs Kiryat Gat
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Afula 67 / 100
Kiryat Gat 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Afula Kiryat Gat

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hapoel Afula Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kiryat Gat's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 20 matches.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Hapoel Afula went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Hapoel Afula scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Afula VS Kiryat Gat
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Afula

(Home)
16 Oct
Hapoel Afula
0 : 0
M. Herzliya
09 Oct
Ironi Modiin
1 : 2
Hapoel Afula
01 Oct
Hapoel Afula
2 : 2
H. Ironi Rishon
24 Sept
Hapoel Akko
0 : 3
Hapoel Afula
17 Sept
Hapoel Afula
3 : 3
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Page 1 of 6

Kiryat Gat

(Away)
16 Oct
SC Ashdod
0 : 0
Kiryat Gat
09 Oct
Kiryat Gat
2 : 2
Kiryat Yam
01 Oct
Yehuda
2 : 1
Kiryat Gat
28 Sept
Kiryat Gat
0 : 1
MS Kafr Qasim
17 Sept
H. Raanana
0 : 1
Kiryat Gat
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Ashdod 10 8 1 1 22:8 25
2 Yehuda 9 7 2 0 20:7 23
3 H. Ironi Rishon 9 6 2 1 18:9 20
4 Kiryat Yam 10 6 1 3 27:16 19
5 Hapoel Afula 10 5 3 2 18:13 18
6 Hapoel Kfar Shalem 9 5 2 2 19:18 17
7 H. Raanana 9 5 0 4 20:13 15
8 MS Kafr Qasim 10 4 1 5 13:11 13
9 Maccabi Bnei Raina 9 4 1 4 13:13 13
10 Ironi Modiin 10 3 2 5 15:17 11
11 Kiryat Gat 10 2 4 4 9:11 10
12 M. Nazareth 10 3 1 6 10:17 10
13 M. Herzliya 10 2 3 5 9:13 9
14 Hapoel Kfar Saba 10 3 0 7 15:24 9
15 Maccabi Jaffa 10 2 0 8 7:22 6
16 Hapoel Akko 9 0 1 8 0:23 1
Promotion - Leumit League (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Leumit League (Relegation Group)