Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Jaffa

Israel Israel

Leumit League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Itzhak G.
36'
Naaman M.
47' Event
Kingsley I.

AI Match Summary

Maccabi Jaffa in this Leumit League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Maccabi Jaffa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Hapoel Afula
20%
Draws
44%
Maccabi Jaffa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Maccabi Jaffa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hapoel Afula lately — more wins on the board than Maccabi Jaffa.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Hapoel Afula taking it.
  • Regular Leumit League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Maccabi Jaffa here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Hapoel Afula Clean Sheet 68%
Maccabi Jaffa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Afula Maccabi Jaffa
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 9 7
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.45 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Leumit League
Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Jaffa
0:1
May 19, 2026 Leumit League
Maccabi Jaffa vs Hapoel Afula
4:1
Feb 20, 2026 Leumit League
Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Jaffa
0:5
Oct 17, 2025 Leumit League
Maccabi Jaffa vs Hapoel Afula
1:2
May 9, 2025 Leumit League
Maccabi Jaffa vs Hapoel Afula
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hapoel Afula Compare

Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Maccabi Jaffa Compare

Top Goalscorer Itzhak G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kingsley I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Afula 68 / 100
Maccabi Jaffa 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Afula Maccabi Jaffa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hapoel Afula Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Hapoel Afula scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Maccabi Jaffa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Hapoel Afula has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Afula VS Maccabi Jaffa
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Afula

(Home)
01 Oct
Hapoel Afula
2 : 2
H. Ironi Rishon
24 Sept
Hapoel Akko
0 : 3
Hapoel Afula
17 Sept
Hapoel Afula
3 : 3
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
10 Sept
Maccabi Bnei Raina
4 : 2
Hapoel Afula
06 Sept
Hapoel Afula
0 : 1
Maccabi Jaffa
Page 1 of 6

Maccabi Jaffa

(Away)
01 Oct
Maccabi Jaffa
1 : 0
Hapoel Akko
28 Sept
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
3 : 1
Maccabi Jaffa
17 Sept
Maccabi Jaffa
0 : 2
Maccabi Bnei Raina
10 Sept
Maccabi Jaffa
1 : 3
H. Raanana
06 Sept
Hapoel Afula
0 : 1
Maccabi Jaffa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maccabi Petah Tikva 30 17 9 4 67:32 60
2 M. Herzliya 30 14 8 8 45:35 50
3 Hapoel Ramat Gan 30 14 7 9 48:36 49
4 H. Ironi Rishon 30 13 9 8 43:33 48
5 Hapoel Kfar Shalem 30 13 8 9 51:47 47
6 Yehuda 30 12 8 10 34:37 44
7 Kiryat Yam 30 13 7 10 43:37 42
8 Hapoel Kfar Saba 30 11 8 11 38:39 41
9 H. Raanana 30 10 8 12 29:36 38
10 Maccabi Jaffa 30 10 7 13 50:50 37
11 Hapoel Afula 30 9 9 12 32:48 36
12 MS Kafr Qasim 30 8 10 12 34:39 34
13 Nof Hagalil 30 6 14 10 37:45 32
14 Ironi Modiin 30 8 8 14 30:41 32
15 Hapoel Akko 30 6 13 11 32:42 31
16 Hapoel Hadera 30 4 11 15 32:48 23
Promotion - Leumit League 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Leumit League 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)