Sport Picks

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Hapoel Afula vs SC Ashdod

Israel Israel

Leumit League
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Khalaila A.
76' Event
Twizer R.

AI Match Summary

Hapoel Afula in this Leumit League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hapoel Afula.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Hapoel Afula
15%
Draws
42%
SC Ashdod
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hapoel Afula

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Hapoel Afula have won more games recently than SC Ashdod.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Leumit League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Hapoel Afula Clean Sheet 18%
SC Ashdod Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Afula SC Ashdod
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 5
Draws 8 5
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 1.31 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2026 Leumit League
Hapoel Afula vs SC Ashdod
2:0
Dec 27, 2024 State Cup
Hapoel Afula vs SC Ashdod
3:4
Jan 15, 2019 State Cup
Hapoel Afula vs SC Ashdod
3:1
Jan 22, 2016 Leumit League
Hapoel Afula vs SC Ashdod
3:2
Oct 12, 2015 Leumit League
SC Ashdod vs Hapoel Afula
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hapoel Afula Compare

Top Goalscorer Khalaila A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Twizer R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

SC Ashdod Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Afula 36 / 100
SC Ashdod 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Afula SC Ashdod

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Ashdod Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Ashdod let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Hapoel Afula's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Hapoel Afula went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Afula VS SC Ashdod
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Afula

(Home)
10 Sept
Maccabi Bnei Raina
4 : 2
Hapoel Afula
06 Sept
Hapoel Afula
0 : 1
Maccabi Jaffa
31 Aug
Hapoel Afula
3 : 2
H. Raanana
24 Aug
M. Nazareth
0 : 1
Hapoel Afula
18 Aug
Hapoel Afula
2 : 0
SC Ashdod
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SC Ashdod

(Away)
06 Sept
SC Ashdod
4 : 0
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
31 Aug
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1 : 2
SC Ashdod
24 Aug
SC Ashdod
1 : 0
Maccabi Jaffa
18 Aug
Hapoel Afula
2 : 0
SC Ashdod
10 Jul
SC Ashdod
1 : 3
Ironi Modiin
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yehuda 5 4 1 0 14:4 13
2 H. Ironi Rishon 5 4 1 0 10:4 13
3 H. Raanana 5 4 0 1 16:7 12
4 SC Ashdod 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
5 Hapoel Afula 5 3 0 2 8:7 9
6 Maccabi Bnei Raina 5 3 0 2 9:9 9
7 Hapoel Kfar Shalem 5 2 1 2 9:12 7
8 Kiryat Yam 5 2 0 3 15:10 6
9 Hapoel Kfar Saba 5 2 0 3 6:12 6
10 Ironi Modiin 5 1 2 2 7:8 5
11 Kiryat Gat 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
12 MS Kafr Qasim 4 1 1 2 5:4 4
13 M. Herzliya 4 1 1 2 5:6 4
14 M. Nazareth 5 1 1 3 6:9 4
15 Maccabi Jaffa 5 1 0 4 5:12 3
16 Hapoel Akko 4 0 0 4 0:14 0
Promotion - Leumit League (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Leumit League (Relegation Group)