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Hapoel Azor vs Beitar Nordia Jerusalem - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Liga Alef South 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Pinto A.
83' Event
Yehezkel S.
90' Event
Hak O.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Alef South 2025/2026 game between Hapoel Azor and Beitar Nordia Jerusalem finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hapoel Azor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Hapoel Azor
20%
Draws
0%
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hapoel Azor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hapoel Azor come out ahead of Beitar Nordia Jerusalem on wins alone.
  • Model gives Hapoel Azor a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Alef South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Hapoel Azor Clean Sheet 68%
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Azor Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
Matches Played 21 22
Wins 5 2
Draws 8 4
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 0.86 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.14 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2026 Liga Alef South
Hapoel Azor vs Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
2:1
Oct 31, 2025 Liga Alef South
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem vs Hapoel Azor
1:2
Mar 28, 2025 Liga Alef South
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem vs Hapoel Azor
4:1
Dec 6, 2024 Liga Alef South
Hapoel Azor vs Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
0:1
Mar 29, 2022 Liga Alef South
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem vs Hapoel Azor
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hapoel Azor Compare

Top Goalscorer Pinto A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hak O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Beitar Nordia Jerusalem Compare

Top Goalscorer Yehezkel S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Azor 95 / 100
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Azor Beitar Nordia Jerusalem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hapoel Azor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Beitar Nordia Jerusalem's defensive record shows goals conceded in 91% of 22 matches.

Away concern: Beitar Nordia Jerusalem has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Hapoel Azor went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Azor VS Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
0.5 Goals Scored 0.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Azor

(Home)
08 Oct
Ramat Hasharon
1 : 1
Hapoel Azor
01 Oct
Hapoel Sderot FC
0 : 0
Hapoel Azor
23 Sept
Hapoel Azor
2 : 0
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
18 Sept
Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi
3 : 0
Hapoel Azor
09 Sept
Hapoel Azor
2 : 0
Tzeirei Tira
Page 1 of 5

Beitar Nordia Jerusalem

(Away)
08 Oct
Holon Yermiyahu
5 : 0
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
30 Sept
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
0 : 4
Hapoel Hadera
23 Sept
Ironi Beit Shemesh
1 : 0
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
18 Sept
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
1 : 3
Jerusalem FC
09 Sept
H. Herzliya
3 : 1
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kiryat Gat 21 17 4 0 53:18 55
2 Jerusalem FC 22 11 4 7 45:29 37
3 FC Dimona 22 11 4 7 29:30 37
4 Maccabi Yavne 22 10 6 6 42:28 36
5 Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi 22 10 5 7 27:27 35
6 Tzeirei Tira 21 10 3 8 33:24 33
7 Shimshon Tel Aviv 22 8 6 8 28:28 30
8 Beitar Yavne 22 9 3 10 27:34 30
9 Kfar Saba 1928 22 7 8 7 28:31 29
10 Holon Yermiyahu 22 6 6 10 30:33 24
11 Hapoel Marmorek 22 6 6 10 20:34 24
12 Hapoel Azor 21 5 8 8 17:20 23
13 H. Herzliya 22 5 7 10 22:36 22
14 Ramat Hasharon 22 5 5 12 24:43 19
15 Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 21 7 7 7 37:35 16
16 Beitar Nordia Jerusalem 22 3 6 13 28:40 15
Promotion - Leumit League (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)