Sport Picks

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Hapoel Azor vs Jerusalem FC

Israel Israel

Liga Alef South 2025/2026
Fri, Apr 24, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hapoel Azor host Jerusalem FC in the Liga Alef South 2025/2026. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Hapoel Azor at 0.85 goals for, 1.15 against; Jerusalem FC at 1.95 for, 1.19 against. Head-to-head, Hapoel Azor have won 0 to Jerusalem FC's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 24, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.50 vs 0.81, favoring Jerusalem FC. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Hapoel Azor
30%
Draws
43%
Jerusalem FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jerusalem FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Jerusalem FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 43% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga Alef South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Hapoel Azor Clean Sheet 20%
Jerusalem FC Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Azor Jerusalem FC
Matches Played 20 21
Wins 5 10
Draws 7 6
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 0.85 1.95
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 Liga Alef South
Hapoel Azor vs Jerusalem FC
0:0
Jan 9, 2026 Liga Alef South
Jerusalem FC vs Hapoel Azor
1:1
Jan 24, 2025 Liga Alef South
Hapoel Azor vs Jerusalem FC
0:3
Sep 20, 2024 Liga Alef South
Jerusalem FC vs Hapoel Azor
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Azor 32 / 100
Jerusalem FC 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Azor Jerusalem FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jerusalem FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jerusalem FC let in goals in 81% of their last 21 matches.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Hapoel Azor has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Hapoel Azor's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 20 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Azor VS Jerusalem FC
0.5 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Azor

(Home)
01 Oct
Hapoel Sderot FC
0 : 0
Hapoel Azor
23 Sept
Hapoel Azor
2 : 0
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
18 Sept
Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi
3 : 0
Hapoel Azor
09 Sept
Hapoel Azor
2 : 0
Tzeirei Tira
03 Sept
Maccabi Yavne
3 : 0
Hapoel Azor
Page 1 of 4

Jerusalem FC

(Away)
30 Sept
Tzeirei Tira
0 : 2
Jerusalem FC
24 Sept
Jerusalem FC
1 : 1
Maccabi Yavne
18 Sept
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
1 : 3
Jerusalem FC
09 Sept
Jerusalem FC
1 : 1
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
04 Sept
Kfar Saba 1928
1 : 2
Jerusalem FC
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kiryat Gat 21 17 4 0 53:18 55
2 Jerusalem FC 22 11 4 7 45:29 37
3 FC Dimona 22 11 4 7 29:30 37
4 Maccabi Yavne 22 10 6 6 42:28 36
5 Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi 22 10 5 7 27:27 35
6 Tzeirei Tira 21 10 3 8 33:24 33
7 Shimshon Tel Aviv 22 8 6 8 28:28 30
8 Beitar Yavne 22 9 3 10 27:34 30
9 Kfar Saba 1928 22 7 8 7 28:31 29
10 Holon Yermiyahu 22 6 6 10 30:33 24
11 Hapoel Marmorek 22 6 6 10 20:34 24
12 Hapoel Azor 21 5 8 8 17:20 23
13 H. Herzliya 22 5 7 10 22:36 22
14 Ramat Hasharon 22 5 5 12 24:43 19
15 Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 21 7 7 7 37:35 16
16 Beitar Nordia Jerusalem 22 3 6 13 28:40 15
Promotion - Leumit League (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)