Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hapoel Bnei Lod vs Shimshon Tel Aviv

Israel Israel

Liga Alef South 2024/2025 Lod Municipal Stadium, Lod
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Mugrabi Y.
49'
Reichert B.
79' Event
Ben Basat R.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga Alef South 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Hapoel Bnei Lod
11%
Draws
9%
Shimshon Tel Aviv
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Hapoel Bnei Lod

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Hapoel Bnei Lod haven't matched Shimshon Tel Aviv's recent run of results.
  • Hapoel Bnei Lod are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Liga Alef South 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Hapoel Bnei Lod Clean Sheet 68%
Shimshon Tel Aviv Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Bnei Lod Shimshon Tel Aviv
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 12
Draws 4 9
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 0 1.13
Goals Conceded 0 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2025 Liga Alef South
Hapoel Bnei Lod vs Shimshon Tel Aviv
1:1
Oct 22, 2024 Liga Alef South
Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Bnei Lod
0:0
Feb 21, 2024 Liga Alef South
Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Bnei Lod
4:0
Sep 13, 2023 Liga Alef South
Hapoel Bnei Lod vs Shimshon Tel Aviv
2:4
Mar 19, 2022 Liga Alef South
Hapoel Bnei Lod vs Shimshon Tel Aviv
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hapoel Bnei Lod Compare

Top Goalscorer Ben Basat R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Shimshon Tel Aviv Compare

Top Goalscorer Mugrabi Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Bnei Lod 86 / 100
Shimshon Tel Aviv 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Bnei Lod Shimshon Tel Aviv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Hapoel Bnei Lod went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Shimshon Tel Aviv's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Hapoel Bnei Lod scored in 50% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Shimshon Tel Aviv
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Bnei Lod

(Home)
25 Apr
Hapoel Bnei Lod
4 : 1
Maccabi Shaarayim
08 Apr
Hapoel Bnei Lod
2 : 1
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
04 Apr
Hapoel Azor
1 : 2
Hapoel Bnei Lod
27 Mar
Holon Yermiyahu
1 : 1
Hapoel Bnei Lod
20 Mar
Hapoel Bnei Lod
3 : 2
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
Page 1 of 6

Shimshon Tel Aviv

(Away)
26 Feb
Shimshon Tel Aviv
4 : 2
Ramat Hasharon
19 Feb
Shimshon Tel Aviv
0 : 0
Kfar Saba 1928
12 Feb
Maccabi Yavne
2 : 1
Shimshon Tel Aviv
05 Feb
Shimshon Tel Aviv
2 : 0
Holon Yermiyahu
31 Jan
Shimshon Tel Aviv
1 : 3
Kiryat Gat
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ironi Modiin30188445:1962
2Beitar Nordia Jerusalem30175850:3456
3H. Herzliya30167746:3255
4Maccabi Yavne30166844:3354
5FC Dimona30156943:2951
6Holon Yermiyahu301211742:2947
7Jerusalem FC30129947:4145
8Maccabi Ironi Ashdod3010101035:3140
9Agudat Sport Ashdod301081244:3538
10Shimshon Tel Aviv309111033:3438
11Hapoel Marmorek306121229:3830
12Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi306121222:3530
13Hapoel Azor30791428:4830
14Tzeirei Tira30781524:4429
15Hapoel Bnei Lod30851730:5829
16Maccabi Shaarayim30391824:4618
17Nes Tziona00000:00
18Shimshon Kafr Qasim00000:00
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