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Hapoel Hadera vs Ironi Modiin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Leumit League 2025/2026 Netanya Stadium, Netanya
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Bella C.

AI Match Summary

The Leumit League 2025/2026 game between Hapoel Hadera and Ironi Modiin finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hapoel Hadera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Hapoel Hadera
30%
Draws
23%
Ironi Modiin
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hapoel Hadera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Ironi Modiin carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Hapoel Hadera taking it.
  • Regular Leumit League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Ironi Modiin have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Hapoel Hadera Clean Sheet 68%
Ironi Modiin Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Hadera Ironi Modiin
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 7
Draws 8 10
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2026 Leumit League
Hapoel Hadera vs Ironi Modiin
1:0
Jan 5, 2026 Leumit League
Ironi Modiin vs Hapoel Hadera
1:0
Aug 31, 2025 Leumit League
Hapoel Hadera vs Ironi Modiin
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hapoel Hadera Compare

Top Goalscorer Bella C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Ironi Modiin Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Hadera 95 / 100
Ironi Modiin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Hadera Ironi Modiin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hapoel Hadera Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Hapoel Hadera scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Ironi Modiin let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Hapoel Hadera stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Hadera VS Ironi Modiin
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Hadera

(Home)
30 Sept
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
0 : 4
Hapoel Hadera
24 Sept
Hapoel Hadera
1 : 1
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
17 Sept
Kfar Saba 1928
0 : 1
Hapoel Hadera
09 Sept
Hapoel Hadera
2 : 2
Shimshon Tel Aviv
04 Sept
Hapoel Marmorek
1 : 0
Hapoel Hadera
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Ironi Modiin

(Away)
01 Oct
M. Nazareth
1 : 2
Ironi Modiin
24 Sept
Ironi Modiin
1 : 3
SC Ashdod
17 Sept
Kiryat Yam
3 : 2
Ironi Modiin
10 Sept
Ironi Modiin
2 : 4
Yehuda
07 Sept
MS Kafr Qasim
0 : 0
Ironi Modiin
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