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Hapoel Kfar Saba vs Hapoel Afula - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Leumit League
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hapoel Kfar Saba host Hapoel Afula in the Leumit League. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Hapoel Kfar Saba at 1.55 goals for, 1.83 against; Hapoel Afula at 1.32 for, 1.36 against. Head-to-head, Hapoel Kfar Saba have won 1 to Hapoel Afula's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Jan 19, 2026, ending 3:3. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 2.38, favoring Hapoel Afula. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Hapoel Kfar Saba
30%
Draws
52%
Hapoel Afula
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hapoel Afula

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Hapoel Afula carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hapoel Afula are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Leumit League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Hapoel Kfar Saba Clean Sheet 10%
Hapoel Afula Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Kfar Saba Hapoel Afula
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 12
Draws 6 8
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.55 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2026 Leumit League
Hapoel Kfar Saba vs Hapoel Afula
3:3
Sep 14, 2025 Leumit League
Hapoel Afula vs Hapoel Kfar Saba
1:1
Jan 13, 2025 Leumit League
Hapoel Kfar Saba vs Hapoel Afula
2:0
Sep 5, 2024 Leumit League
Hapoel Afula vs Hapoel Kfar Saba
1:1
May 10, 2024 Leumit League
Hapoel Kfar Saba vs Hapoel Afula
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Kfar Saba 18 / 100
Hapoel Afula 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Kfar Saba Hapoel Afula

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hapoel Afula Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hapoel Kfar Saba scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Hapoel Afula let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Hapoel Kfar Saba went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Kfar Saba VS Hapoel Afula
1.38 Goals Scored 2
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Kfar Saba

(Home)
16 Oct
M. Nazareth
0 : 4
Hapoel Kfar Saba
12 Oct
Hapoel Kfar Saba
2 : 4
SC Ashdod
01 Oct
Kiryat Yam
2 : 0
Hapoel Kfar Saba
28 Sept
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1 : 2
Yehuda
17 Sept
MS Kafr Qasim
4 : 2
Hapoel Kfar Saba
Page 1 of 6

Hapoel Afula

(Away)
16 Oct
Hapoel Afula
0 : 0
M. Herzliya
09 Oct
Ironi Modiin
1 : 2
Hapoel Afula
01 Oct
Hapoel Afula
2 : 2
H. Ironi Rishon
24 Sept
Hapoel Akko
0 : 3
Hapoel Afula
17 Sept
Hapoel Afula
3 : 3
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Ashdod 10 8 1 1 22:8 25
2 Yehuda 10 7 3 0 21:8 24
3 H. Ironi Rishon 10 6 3 1 19:10 21
4 Hapoel Kfar Shalem 10 6 2 2 23:18 20
5 Kiryat Yam 10 6 1 3 27:16 19
6 Hapoel Afula 10 5 3 2 18:13 18
7 H. Raanana 10 5 1 4 21:14 16
8 Maccabi Bnei Raina 10 4 2 4 14:14 14
9 MS Kafr Qasim 10 4 1 5 13:11 13
10 Ironi Modiin 10 3 2 5 15:17 11
11 Kiryat Gat 10 2 4 4 9:11 10
12 M. Nazareth 10 3 1 6 10:17 10
13 M. Herzliya 10 2 3 5 9:13 9
14 Hapoel Kfar Saba 10 3 0 7 15:24 9
15 Maccabi Jaffa 10 2 0 8 7:22 6
16 Hapoel Akko 10 0 1 9 0:27 1
Promotion - Leumit League (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Leumit League (Relegation Group)