Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hapoel Kfar Shalem vs Hapoel Afula

Israel Israel

Leumit League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Hasson S.
45' Event
Dias J.
77' Event
Shahar N.

AI Match Summary

The Leumit League 2025/2026 game between Hapoel Kfar Shalem and Hapoel Afula finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hapoel Kfar Shalem.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
40%
Draws
29%
Hapoel Afula
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Hapoel Kfar Shalem carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Hapoel Kfar Shalem Clean Sheet 13%
Hapoel Afula Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Kfar Shalem Hapoel Afula
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 6 9
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.5 1
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 12, 2026 Leumit League
Hapoel Afula vs Hapoel Kfar Shalem
2:2
Sep 7, 2025 Leumit League
Hapoel Kfar Shalem vs Hapoel Afula
2:0
Mar 7, 2025 Leumit League
Hapoel Kfar Shalem vs Hapoel Afula
2:0
Nov 4, 2024 Leumit League
Hapoel Afula vs Hapoel Kfar Shalem
1:3
May 4, 2021 Leumit League
Hapoel Kfar Shalem vs Hapoel Afula
1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hapoel Kfar Shalem Compare

Top Goalscorer Dias J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Shahar N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Hapoel Afula Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Kfar Shalem 31 / 100
Hapoel Afula 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Kfar Shalem Hapoel Afula

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hapoel Kfar Shalem found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Defensive concern: Hapoel Afula conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Hapoel Kfar Shalem stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Kfar Shalem VS Hapoel Afula
1.5 Goals Scored 1
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Kfar Shalem

(Home)
25 May
H. Ironi Rishon
2 : 6
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
20 May
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
2 : 1
Kiryat Yam
15 May
Hapoel Ramat Gan
2 : 1
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
08 May
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
0 : 1
Yehuda
05 May
M. Herzliya
4 : 2
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Page 1 of 6

Hapoel Afula

(Away)
18 Jul
Hapoel Afula
3 : 2
Dobrudzha
25 May
Hapoel Afula
2 : 0
MS Kafr Qasim
19 May
Maccabi Jaffa
4 : 1
Hapoel Afula
15 May
Hapoel Afula
2 : 1
Nof Hagalil
08 May
Hapoel Hadera
1 : 1
Hapoel Afula
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Maccabi Petah Tikva30179467:3260
2M. Herzliya30148845:3550
3Hapoel Ramat Gan30147948:3649
4H. Ironi Rishon30139843:3348
5Hapoel Kfar Shalem30138951:4747
6Yehuda301281034:3744
7Kiryat Yam301371043:3742
8Hapoel Kfar Saba301181138:3941
9H. Raanana301081229:3638
10Maccabi Jaffa301071350:5037
11Hapoel Afula30991232:4836
12MS Kafr Qasim308101234:3934
13Nof Hagalil306141037:4532
14Ironi Modiin30881430:4132
15Hapoel Akko306131132:4231
16Hapoel Hadera304111532:4823
Promotion - Leumit League 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Leumit League 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)