Sport Picks

Israel

Leumit League 2025/2026

Kiryat Yam

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Hapoel Kfar Shalem play Kiryat Yam in the Leumit League 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Hapoel Kfar Shalem averaged 1.87 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. Kiryat Yam averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. In past meetings, Hapoel Kfar Shalem won 2, Kiryat Yam won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 20, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Hapoel Kfar Shalem and 1.81 for Kiryat Yam. This points to a Hapoel Kfar Shalem double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%

Hapoel Kfar Shalem

17%

Draws

36%

Kiryat Yam

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Hapoel Kfar Shalem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence

Hapoel Kfar Shalem picked up more points recently compared to Kiryat Yam.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.81 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 79%

Over 2.5 Goals 62%

Over 3.5 Goals 37%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%

Hapoel Kfar Shalem Clean Sheet 11%

Kiryat Yam Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 71%

Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Hapoel Kfar Shalem	Kiryat Yam
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	12	9
Draws	6	8
Losses	12	13
Goals Scored	1.87	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.83	1.33
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.38	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Leumit League

Hapoel Kfar Shalem vs Kiryat Yam

Possession: 53% - 46% Cards: 1 - 4

2:1

Feb 2, 2026 Leumit League

Hapoel Kfar Shalem vs Kiryat Yam

Possession: 52% - 41% Cards: 0 - 2

1:0

Sep 28, 2025 Leumit League

Kiryat Yam vs Hapoel Kfar Shalem

Possession: 59% - 53% Cards: 3 - 2

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hapoel Kfar Shalem Compare

Top Goalscorer Hasson N.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

Kiryat Yam Compare

Top Goalscorer Malka Y.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Kfar Shalem 45 / 100

Kiryat Yam 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Hapoel Kfar Shalem Kiryat Yam

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Hapoel Kfar Shalem or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +20.3%

2.56

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.79

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Hapoel Kfar Shalem attacking → ← attacking Kiryat Yam

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hapoel Kfar Shalem scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Kiryat Yam let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Hapoel Kfar Shalem went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Kiryat Yam lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 35

1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

2.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Maccabi Petah Tikva	37	18	13	6	77:42	67
2	Hapoel Ramat Gan	37	18	10	9	59:41	64
3	M. Herzliya	37	17	11	9	55:44	62
4	Yehuda	37	15	12	10	46:44	57
5	Hapoel Kfar Shalem	37	16	8	13	67:63	56
6	Kiryat Yam	37	15	9	13	48:43	50
7	Hapoel Kfar Saba	37	13	11	13	52:50	50
8	H. Ironi Rishon	37	13	10	14	50:54	49